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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

U U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Nurnberg

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

55%

36%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 73%

64%

82%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 2. · Nurnberg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	12	7	2	3	+9	23
2	Holstein Kiel	11	6	4	1	+8	22
3	Greuther Furth	12	6	3	3	+7	21
4	Bochum	12	6	2	4	+7	20
5	Heidenheim	12	5	4	3	+4	19
6	Osnabruck	11	5	4	2	+3	19
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	5	2	4	-5	17
8	Nurnberg	11	4	4	3	+4	16
9	Karlsruhe	11	5	1	5	+4	16
10	Erzgebirge Aue	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Hannover	12	5	1	6	+1	16
12	Regensburg	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Darmstadt	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Paderborn	11	4	2	5	+1	14
15	Sandhausen	12	3	2	7	-13	11
16	Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-13	11
17	St Pauli	11	1	5	5	-6	8
18	Wurzburger Kickers	11	1	1	9	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Hamburg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
3	Hannover	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Bochum	6	3	2	1	+8	11
6	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Regensburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Braunschweig	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Paderborn	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Sandhausen	6	2	2	2	-4	8
13	Greuther Furth	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Osnabruck	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Karlsruhe	5	2	0	3	+1	6
16	Darmstadt	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Pauli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Wurzburger Kickers	6	1	1	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Osnabruck	6	3	3	0	+5	12
3	Holstein Kiel	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Hamburg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Darmstadt	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Bochum	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Nurnberg	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Erzgebirge Aue	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Regensburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Paderborn	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Heidenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	1	4	-9	4
14	St Pauli	6	0	3	3	-4	3
15	Hannover	6	1	0	5	-6	3
16	Sandhausen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
17	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-12	1
18	Wurzburger Kickers	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.