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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Schalke 04
U T T T U
0–2
Full-time
Freiburg
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
18%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
55%
73%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Freiburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 11 7 4 0 +13 25
2 Bayern Munich 11 7 3 1 +18 24
3 RB Leipzig 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Dortmund 12 7 1 4 +9 22
5 Wolfsburg 11 5 6 0 +7 21
6 Union Berlin 12 4 6 2 +8 18
7 Stuttgart 12 4 6 2 +7 18
8 M'gladbach 12 4 6 2 +3 18
9 Ein Frankfurt 12 2 8 2 -3 14
10 Hertha 12 3 4 5 -1 13
11 Augsburg 11 3 4 4 -3 13
12 Hoffenheim 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Werder Bremen 12 2 5 5 -6 11
14 Freiburg 11 2 5 4 -8 11
15 FC Koln 11 2 4 5 -4 10
16 Bielefeld 11 2 1 8 -14 7
17 Mainz 12 1 3 8 -13 6
18 Schalke 04 11 0 4 7 -25 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Freiburg
Benito Raman 🟨
19′
36′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
Half-time 0–1
50′
R. Sallai 0–1
J. Schmid
60′
🔁 L. Höler
↦ N. Petersen
68′
R. Sallai 0–2
V. Grifo
69′
🔁 Jeong Woo-Yeong
↦ V. Grifo
69′
🔁 E. Demirović
↦ R. Sallai
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ A. Harit
70′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ Omar Mascarell
73′
H. Mendyl 🔁
↦ B. Raman
73′
Suat Serdar 🟨
83′
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ R. Matondo
86′
92′
🔁 L. Tempelmann
↦ J. Schmid
92′
🔁 A. Abrashi
↦ B. Santamaría
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
4 O. Kabak D
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
16 N. Boujellab F
9 B. Raman M
14 R. Matondo M
Bench (9)
15 A. Kutucu
28 A. Schöpf
3 H. Mendyl
43 M. Hoppe
33 M. Thiaw
40 C. Bozdogan
5 M. Nastasić
2 K. Ludewig
34 M. Langer

Coach: M. Baum

Freiburg

3-4-3
21 F. Müller G
5 M. Gulde D
30 C. Günter M
3 P. Lienhart D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
27 N. Höfler M
7 J. Schmid M
32 V. Grifo F
8 B. Santamaría M
22 R. Sallai F
18 N. Petersen F
Bench (9)
9 L. Höler
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
11 E. Demirović
34 L. Tempelmann
6 A. Abrashi
28 Kwon Chang-Hoon
14 G. Til
1 B. Uphoff
23 D. Heintz

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,48
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.