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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Kortrijk
U T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Standard
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 18/14 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
56%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 11. · Standard 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 10 6 4 +9 36
2 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
3 Charleroi 19 9 4 6 +6 31
4 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
5 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
6 Anderlecht 16 6 9 1 +10 27
7 Antwerp 15 7 5 3 +7 26
8 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
9 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
10 Waregem 18 7 3 8 -4 24
11 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -2 23
12 Gent 16 7 1 8 +4 22
13 Cercle Brugge 19 7 0 12 -6 21
14 Oostende 16 5 4 7 +1 19
15 Beveren 16 5 3 8 -8 18
16 Waasland-Beveren 17 5 3 9 -11 18
17 Mechelen 15 4 4 7 -5 16
18 Mouscron 17 3 5 9 -14 14
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 5 9 -14 14
20 St Truiden 18 2 6 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Standard
1–0 G. Dewaele
2′
2–0 Y. Makarenko
F. Selemani
39′
Timothy Derijck 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Lestienne
↦ C. Fai
Eric Ocansey 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 J. Carcela-Gonzalez
↦ S. Amallah
71′
🔁 O. Oularé
↦ F. Avenatti
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ F. Selemani
74′
76′
M. Lestienne 2–1
M. Balikwisha
79′
🟨 Laurent Jans
H. Van der Bruggen 🔁
↦ H. Guèye
82′
C. Lepoint 🔁
↦ I. Mboyo
89′
Christophe Lepoint 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-5-2
31 M. Ilić G
76 T. Derijck D
4 G. Dewaele D
2 P. Golubović D
3 B. Hines-Ike D
25 Y. Makarenko M
23 J. De Sart M
7 I. Mboyo F
10 F. Selemani M
51 E. Ocansey F
17 H. Guèye F
Bench (7)
27 M. Jonckheere
14 H. Van der Bruggen
15 C. Lepoint
20 S. Sissoko
41 Y. Van Den Bossche
1 A. Jakubech
11 J. Stojanović

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Standard

4-3-1-2
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
27 L. Jans D
24 N. Gavory D
20 M. Bokadi M
21 C. Fai D
8 G. Cimirot M
19 S. Amallah M
26 N. Raskin M
25 F. Avenatti F
32 M. Balikwisha F
Bench (7)
22 M. Lestienne
10 J. Carcela-Gonzalez
9 O. Oularé
30 L. Henkinet
34 K. Laifis
23 A. Tapsoba
15 E. Shamir

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,06
U
3,50
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.