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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Bielefeld
T T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 16. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 11 7 4 0 +13 25
2 Bayern Munich 11 7 3 1 +18 24
3 RB Leipzig 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Dortmund 12 7 1 4 +9 22
5 Wolfsburg 11 5 6 0 +7 21
6 Union Berlin 12 4 6 2 +8 18
7 Stuttgart 12 4 6 2 +7 18
8 M'gladbach 12 4 6 2 +3 18
9 Ein Frankfurt 12 2 8 2 -3 14
10 Freiburg 12 3 5 4 -6 14
11 Hertha 12 3 4 5 -1 13
12 Augsburg 11 3 4 4 -3 13
13 Hoffenheim 11 3 3 5 -2 12
14 Werder Bremen 12 2 5 5 -6 11
15 FC Koln 11 2 4 5 -4 10
16 Bielefeld 11 2 1 8 -14 7
17 Mainz 12 1 3 8 -13 6
18 Schalke 04 12 0 4 8 -27 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Augsburg
Fabian Kunze 🟨
19′
45′
🟨 Raphael Framberger
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 R. Gumny
↦ R. Framberger
59′
🔁 A. Finnbogason
↦ M. Richter
C. Gebauer 🔁
↦ S. Schipplock
70′
72′
🔁 R. Vargas
↦ M. Gregoritsch
Anderson Lucoqui 🔁
↦ J. Nilsson
77′
80′
🟨 Carlos Gruezo
85′
J. Gouweleeuw 0–1
D. Caligiuri
S. Müller 🔁
↦ M. Hartel
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-4-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
6 M. van der Hoorn D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
15 N. De Medina D
30 M. Hartel M
16 F. Kunze M
8 R. Doan M
36 S. Schipplock F
9 F. Klos F
18 S. Córdova M
Bench (9)
7 C. Gebauer
23 Anderson Lucoqui
13 S. Müller
17 C. Soukou
34 O. Linnér
20 N. Seufert
38 J. Consbruch
42 J. Frommann
14 J. Edmundsson

Coach: U. Neuhaus

Augsburg

3-4-1-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger M
19 F. Uduokhai D
20 D. Caligiuri M
33 T. Strobl F
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira M
23 M. Richter F
36 R. Oxford D
11 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (8)
2 R. Gumny
27 A. Finnbogason
16 R. Vargas
44 D. Berisha
41 T. Civeja
35 Cheon Seong-hoon
5 M. Suchý
40 T. Koubek

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U
3,18
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.