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Serie A
Referee: G Aureliano
Milan
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Torino
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 61%
89%
33%
Points per game
2,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Milan 2. · Torino 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 9 8 1 0 +16 25
2 Milan 9 8 1 0 +13 25
3 Inter 9 5 3 1 +12 18
4 Roma 9 5 1 3 +7 16
5 Atalanta 9 4 3 2 +4 15
6 Juventus 9 4 3 2 +2 15
7 Fiorentina 9 5 0 4 +1 15
8 Lazio 9 4 2 3 +2 14
9 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -4 12
10 Empoli 9 4 0 5 -4 12
11 Verona 9 3 2 4 +3 11
12 Torino 9 3 2 4 +2 11
13 Sassuolo 9 3 2 4 +0 11
14 Udinese 9 2 4 3 -2 10
15 Sampdoria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
16 Venezia 10 2 2 6 -9 8
17 Spezia 10 2 2 6 -11 8
18 Genoa 10 1 4 5 -7 7
19 Salernitana 10 2 1 7 -12 7
20 Cagliari 9 1 3 5 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Milan Torino
5′
🟨 Alessandro Buongiorno
Alessio Romagnoli 🟨
10′
1–0 O. Giroud
R. Krunić
14′
24′
🟨 Wilfried Singo
Pierre Kalulu 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
S. Kjær 🔁
↦ A. Romagnoli
46′
T. Hernández 🔁
↦ P. Kalulu
46′
46′
🔁 R. Rodríguez
↦ A. Buongiorno
54′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ A. Belotti
54′
🔁 D. Praet
↦ K. Linetty
57′
🟨 Tommaso Pobega
T. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ S. Tonali
65′
I. Bennacer 🔁
↦ R. Krunić
66′
75′
🔁 M. Vojvoda
↦ W. Singo
80′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ O. Aina
Z. Ibrahimović 🔁
↦ O. Giroud
87′
Tiemoué Bakayoko 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Milan

4-2-3-1
1 C. Tătărușanu G
13 A. Romagnoli D
2 D. Calabria D
23 F. Tomori D
20 P. Kalulu D
33 R. Krunić M
79 F. Kessié M
56 A. Saelemaekers M
8 S. Tonali M
9 O. Giroud F
17 Rafael Leão M
Bench (11)
24 S. Kjær
19 T. Hernández
41 T. Bakayoko
4 I. Bennacer
11 Z. Ibrahimović
96 A. Jungdal
46 M. Gabbia
83 A. Mirante
14 A. Conti
64 P. Pellegri
27 D. Maldini

Coach: S. Pioli

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Savić G
26 K. Djidji D
34 O. Aina M
3 Bremer D
99 A. Buongiorno D
17 W. Singo M
77 K. Linetty F
10 S. Lukić M
14 J. Brekalo F
4 T. Pobega M
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
13 R. Rodríguez
19 A. Sanabria
22 D. Praet
27 M. Vojvoda
7 S. Zaza
5 A. Izzo
1 E. Berisha
25 B. Kone
8 D. Baselli
6 D. Zima
70 M. Warming
88 T. Rincón

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,94
B
5,47
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.