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Serie A

Referee: M Di Bello

Atalanta

U T S S U

2–3

Full-time

Milan

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 7. · Milan 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Inter	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Roma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
5	Fiorentina	7	4	0	3	-1	12
6	Lazio	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bologna	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Empoli	7	3	0	4	-3	9
11	Torino	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Verona	7	2	2	3	+1	8
13	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Sassuolo	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Sampdoria	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Genoa	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Salernitana	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Spezia	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Cagliari	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Bologna	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Milan	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
6	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Verona	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Torino	4	1	1	2	+2	4
9	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Inter	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Milan	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-8	4
15	Roma	3	1	0	2	+2	3
16	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.