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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Torino
S U T S U
0–7
Full-time
Milan
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 34/35 matches
Win Ø 42%
21%
63%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
66%
Both score Ø 61%
68%
54%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 16. · Milan 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 35 26 7 2 +49 85
2 Napoli 36 23 4 9 +43 73
3 Atalanta 35 21 9 5 +42 72
4 Milan 35 22 6 7 +24 72
5 Juventus 35 20 9 6 +33 69
6 Lazio 34 20 4 10 +9 64
7 Roma 35 17 7 11 +10 58
8 Sassuolo 35 15 11 9 +6 56
9 Sampdoria 35 13 6 16 -6 45
10 Verona 35 11 10 14 -1 43
11 Bologna 35 10 10 15 -9 40
12 Udinese 36 10 10 16 -11 40
13 Fiorentina 36 9 12 15 -10 39
14 Genoa 35 8 12 15 -13 36
15 Cagliari 36 9 9 18 -15 36
16 Torino 34 7 14 13 -9 35
17 Spezia 35 8 10 17 -23 34
18 Benevento 35 7 10 18 -33 31
19 Parma 35 3 11 21 -38 20
20 Crotone 35 5 3 27 -48 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Milan
19′
T. Hernández 0–1
Brahim Díaz
26′
F. Kessié 0–2
41′
🟨 Ismaël Bennacer
Daniele Baselli 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 S. Meïté
↦ I. Bennacer
Karol Linetty 🟨
48′
50′
Brahim Díaz 0–3
F. Kessié
T. Rincón 🔁
↦ K. Linetty
56′
C. Ansaldi 🔁
↦ R. Rodríguez
56′
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
56′
62′
T. Hernández 0–4
A. Rebić
63′
🔁 R. Krunić
↦ Brahim Díaz
67′
A. Rebić 0–5
R. Krunić
69′
🔁 Diogo Dalot
↦ T. Hernández
70′
🔁 Rafael Leão
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
72′
A. Rebić 0–6
Rafael Leão
79′
A. Rebić 0–7
R. Krunić
80′
🔁 M. Mandžukić
↦ A. Rebić
Full-time 0–7

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
13 R. Rodríguez M
4 Lyanco D
3 Bremer D
99 A. Buongiorno D
17 W. Singo M
8 D. Baselli M
77 K. Linetty M
38 R. Mandragora M
11 S. Zaza F
26 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (9)
88 T. Rincón
15 C. Ansaldi
24 S. Verdi
90 R. Sava
9 A. Belotti
27 M. Vojvoda
18 S. Ujkani
19 A. Sanabria
7 S. Lukić

Coach: D. Nicola

Milan

4-2-3-1
99 G. Donnarumma G
24 S. Kjær D
2 D. Calabria D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
10 H. Çalhanoğlu M
7 Samu Castillejo M
79 F. Kessié M
4 I. Bennacer M
12 A. Rebić F
21 Brahim Díaz M
Bench (12)
18 S. Meïté
33 R. Krunić
5 Diogo Dalot
17 Rafael Leão
9 M. Mandžukić
13 A. Romagnoli
27 D. Maldini
1 C. Tătărușanu
46 M. Gabbia
90 A. Donnarumma
20 P. Kalulu
15 J. Hauge

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,88
U
3,96
B ✓
1,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.