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Serie A

Referee: S Sozza

Spezia

T T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Genoa

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

22%

11%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 89%

89%

Both score Ø 78%

78%

Average goals

3,7

3,9

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

2,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 17. · Genoa 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Milan	9	8	1	0	+13	25
3	Inter	9	5	3	1	+12	18
4	Roma	9	5	1	3	+7	16
5	Atalanta	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Juventus	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Fiorentina	9	5	0	4	+1	15
8	Lazio	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Bologna	9	3	3	3	-4	12
10	Empoli	9	4	0	5	-4	12
11	Verona	9	3	2	4	+3	11
12	Torino	9	3	2	4	+2	11
13	Sassuolo	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Udinese	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Sampdoria	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Spezia	9	2	1	6	-11	7
18	Genoa	9	1	3	5	-7	6
19	Cagliari	9	1	3	5	-9	6
20	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Bologna	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Verona	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Inter	4	2	2	0	+9	8
8	Torino	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Venezia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Spezia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Empoli	5	1	0	4	-7	3
20	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Milan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Empoli	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Juventus	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Udinese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Torino	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
13	Lazio	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Venezia	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-9	4
16	Roma	4	1	0	3	+1	3
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-7	2
19	Cagliari	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.