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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Empoli
S T T S U
0–2
Full-time
Inter
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 17. · Inter 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Juventus 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Milan 5 3 0 2 +1 9
4 Bologna 5 3 0 2 -2 9
5 Roma 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Lazio 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Inter 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Genoa 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 Sampdoria 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Sassuolo 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Udinese 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Torino 4 1 1 2 +2 4
15 Cagliari 4 1 1 2 +0 4
16 Pescara 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Atalanta 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Palermo 4 0 2 2 -4 2
20 Crotone 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Inter
3′
🟨 Jeison Murillo
10′
M. Icardi 0–1
A. Candreva
17′
M. Icardi 0–2
João Mário
23′
🟨 Gary Medel
25′
🟨 João Miranda
Half-time 0–2
Massimo Maccarone 🟨
48′
D. Croce 🔁
↦ M. Büchel
58′
59′
🟨 João Mário
M. Zambelli 🔁
↦ V. Laurini
69′
G. Marilungo 🔁
↦ R. Saponara
69′
74′
🔁 A. Gnoukouri
↦ G. Kondogbia
75′
🔁 E. Martins
↦ A. Candreva
85′
🔁 Felipe Melo
↦ G. Medel
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
28 L. Skorupski
6 G. Bellusci D
2 V. Laurini D
19 F. Barba D
4 F. Dimarco D
77 M. Büchel M
10 R. Saponara M
88 A. Tello M
8 A. El Hadji M
7 M. Maccarone F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
11 D. Croce
3 M. Zambelli
89 G. Marilungo
5 J. Mauri
9 L. Mchedlidze
17 R. Maiello
18 A. Gilardino
21 M. Pasqual
23 A. Pelagotti
24 U. Ćosić
31 Matheus Pereira
33 R. Krunić

Coach: G. Martusciello

Inter

4-3-3
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
21 D. Santon D
24 J. Murillo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
17 G. Medel M
7 G. Kondogbia M
6 João Mário M
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
27 A. Gnoukouri
23 E. Martins
5 Felipe Melo
8 R. Palacio
10 S. Jovetić
13 A. Ranocchia
15 C. Ansaldi
30 J. Carrizo
55 Y. Nagatomo
94 E. Yao
95 S. Miangue
96 Gabriel

Coach: F. de Boer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.