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Serie A
Referee: M Di Bello
Atalanta
T T S U S
3–1
Full-time
Torino
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
5 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 7. · Torino 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Roma 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Inter 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Napoli 4 2 2 0 +7 8
4 Juventus 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Milan 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Lazio 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Atalanta 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Torino 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Udinese 4 2 1 1 +0 7
10 Fiorentina 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Sassuolo 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Salernitana 3 1 1 1 +3 4
13 Spezia 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Empoli 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Lecce 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Verona 4 0 2 2 -4 2
17 Sampdoria 4 0 2 2 -6 2
18 Bologna 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Cremonese 4 0 0 4 -5 0
20 Monza 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Torino
19′
🟨 Ola Aina
R. Højlund 🔁
↦ D. Zapata
37′
Davide Zappacosta 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Alessandro Buongiorno
N. Zortea 🔁
↦ D. Zappacosta
46′
46′
🔁 M. Vojvoda
↦ O. Aina
1–0 T. Koopmeiners
B. Soppy
47′
2–0 T. Koopmeiners
49′
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ Éderson
58′
67′
🔁 P. Pellegri
↦ A. Sanabria
76′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ D. Seck
77′
N. Vlašić 2–1
M. Ruggeri 🔁
↦ R. Tolói
80′
R. Malinovskyi 🔁
↦ M. Pašalić
80′
82′
🟨 Nikola Vlašić
3–1 T. Koopmeiners
84′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
2 R. Tolói D
28 M. Demiral D
5 C. Okoli D
93 B. Soppy M
7 T. Koopmeiners M
15 M. de Roon M
77 D. Zappacosta M
88 M. Pašalić F
13 Éderson F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (11)
17 R. Højlund
21 N. Zortea
11 A. Lookman
22 M. Ruggeri
18 R. Malinovskyi
3 J. Mæhle
57 M. Sportiello
33 H. Hateboer
42 G. Scalvini
31 F. Rossi
9 L. Muriel

Coach: G. Gasperini

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
26 K. Djidji D
4 A. Buongiorno D
13 R. Rodríguez D
19 V. Lazaro M
10 S. Lukić M
77 K. Linetty M
34 O. Aina M
23 D. Seck F
16 N. Vlašić F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (11)
27 M. Vojvoda
11 P. Pellegri
49 N. Radonjić
2 B. Bayeye
89 L. Gemello
3 P. Schuurs
14 E. İlkhan
21 M. Adopo
6 D. Zima
36 M. Garbett
73 M. Fiorenza

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,94
B
4,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.