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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Anderlecht
S S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Gent
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · Gent 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 6 6 0 0 +16 18
2 Antwerp 5 5 0 0 +7 15
3 Anderlecht 6 4 0 2 +7 12
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
6 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +5 10
7 St. Gilloise 5 3 1 1 +0 10
8 St Truiden 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -2 8
10 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
11 Kortrijk 7 2 1 4 -3 7
12 Oostende 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Eupen 7 2 0 5 -7 6
14 Cercle Brugge 4 1 2 1 +0 5
15 Gent 3 1 1 1 +1 4
16 Standard 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Seraing 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Seraing United 6 1 0 5 -8 3
19 Westerlo 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Gent
37′
ℹ️ Laurent Depoitre
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ L. Depoitre
60′
🔁 H. Cuypers
↦ A. Hjulsager
61′
🟨 Jordan Torunarigha
67′
ℹ️ Hyunseok Hong
VAR: Penalty confirmed
69′
H. Cuypers 0–1
B. Raman 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
70′
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ M. Kana
70′
Mario Stroeykens 🟨
72′
74′
🟨 Hyunseok Hong
81′
🔁 J. Hauge
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
81′
🔁 B. Godeau
↦ A. Castro-Montes
N. Sadiki 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
82′
S. Esposito 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
83′
Fábio Silva 🟨
85′
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

3-5-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
3 H. Delcroix D
62 A. Murillo M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
55 M. Kana M
11 L. Refaelov M
7 F. Amuzu M
29 M. Stroeykens F
99 Fábio Silva F
Bench (7)
9 B. Raman
61 K. Arnstad
27 N. Sadiki
70 S. Esposito
32 N. Angulo
16 B. Verbruggen
54 K. Sardella

Coach: F. Mazzù

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
14 A. Castro-Montes M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
29 L. Depoitre F
17 A. Hjulsager F
Bench (7)
16 I. Salah
11 H. Cuypers
10 J. Hauge
31 B. Godeau
30 C. De Schrevel
21 A. Hanche-Olsen
9 D. Lemajić

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,54
B ✓
3,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.