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Serie A

Referee: D Ghersini

Bologna

S S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Salernitana

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 18. · Salernitana 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Napoli	4	2	2	0	+7	8
4	Juventus	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Milan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Fiorentina	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Verona	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Cremonese	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
12	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.