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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Torino
U T S S T
0–7
Full-time
Atalanta
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,7
3,9
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 15
4 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 12
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 10. · Atalanta 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 20 16 3 1 +20 51
2 Inter 20 14 5 1 +24 47
3 Lazio 19 14 3 2 +28 45
4 Roma 20 11 5 4 +15 38
5 Atalanta 20 10 5 5 +22 35
6 Milan 21 9 4 8 -4 31
7 Cagliari 20 8 6 6 +4 30
8 Parma 20 8 4 8 +0 28
9 Bologna 21 7 6 8 -1 27
10 Torino 20 8 3 9 -2 27
11 Verona 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Fiorentina 21 6 7 8 -4 25
13 Napoli 20 6 6 8 +0 24
14 Udinese 20 7 3 10 -12 24
15 Sassuolo 20 6 4 10 -3 22
16 Sampdoria 20 5 4 11 -13 19
17 Lecce 20 3 7 10 -16 16
18 Spal 21 4 3 14 -18 15
19 Genoa 21 3 6 12 -20 15
20 Brescia 21 4 3 14 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Atalanta
17′
Josip Iličić 0–1
José Luis Palomino
29′
Robin Gosens 0–2
38′
🟨 Marten de Roon
Armando Izzo 🟨
44′
45′
Duván Zapata 0–3
Half-time 0–4
53′
Josip Iličić 0–4
54′
Josip Iličić 0–5
Alejandro Gómez
57′
🔁 Mario Pašalić
↦ Marten de Roon
Vincenzo Millico 🔁
↦ Diego Laxalt
65′
71′
🔁 Ruslan Malinovskyi
↦ Josip Iličić
Armando Izzo 🟨
76′
Armando Izzo 🟥
76′
Lyanco 🔁
↦ Alex Berenguer
78′
Simone Edera 🔁
↦ Simone Verdi
79′
82′
🔁 Luis Muriel
↦ Robin Gosens
86′
Luis Muriel 0–6
88′
Luis Muriel 0–7
Alejandro Gómez
Salvatore Sirigu 🟨
89′
Saša Lukić 🟥
89′
89′
🟨 Hans Hateboer
Full-time 0–7

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
30 Koffi Djidji D
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri M
23 Soualiho Meïté M
7 Saša Lukić M
93 Diego Laxalt M
24 Simone Verdi F
21 Alex Berenguer F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (9)
18 Samir Ujkani
25 Antonio Rosati
36 Gleison Bremer
17 Wilfried Stephane Singo
4 Lyanco
20 Simone Edera
80 Michel Ndary Adopo
22 Vincenzo Millico
10 Iago Falque

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
95 Pierluigi Gollini G
2 Rafael Tolói D
6 José Luis Palomino D
19 Berat Djimsiti D
33 Hans Hateboer M
15 Marten de Roon M
11 Remo Freuler M
8 Robin Gosens M
10 Alejandro Gómez F
72 Josip Iličić F
91 Duván Zapata F
Bench (9)
57 Marco Sportiello
31 Francesco Rossi
55 Caleb Okoli
3 Mattia Caldara
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi
88 Mario Pašalić
20 Jacopo Da Riva
9 Luis Muriel
17 Roberto Piccoli

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,55
U
4,06
B ✓
1,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,32
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.