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Serie A

Referee: D Massa

Salernitana

U T T T U

4–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,5

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 13. · Sampdoria 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Roma	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Inter	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Salernitana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Monza	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Monza	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.