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Serie A

Referee: G Ayroldi

Salernitana

T T U U U

1–1

Full-time

Bologna

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 25%

13%

36%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

63%

60%

Both score Ø 47%

46%

48%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 25

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Bologna 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	27	17	6	4	+24	57
2	Inter	26	16	7	3	+33	55
3	Napoli	26	16	6	4	+29	54
4	Juventus	26	13	8	5	+15	47
5	Atalanta	25	12	8	5	+16	44
6	Lazio	26	12	7	7	+13	43
7	Fiorentina	25	13	3	9	+10	42
8	Roma	26	12	5	9	+10	41
9	Verona	26	10	7	9	+7	37
10	Torino	25	9	6	10	+6	33
11	Sassuolo	26	8	9	9	-1	33
12	Bologna	25	9	4	12	-10	31
13	Empoli	26	8	7	11	-12	31
14	Sampdoria	26	7	5	14	-7	26
15	Udinese	25	5	11	9	-10	26
16	Spezia	26	7	5	14	-20	26
17	Cagliari	26	4	10	12	-21	22
18	Venezia	25	5	7	13	-21	22
19	Genoa	27	1	14	12	-25	17
20	Salernitana	24	3	5	16	-36	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	13	9	2	2	+18	29
2	Milan	14	8	3	3	+10	27
3	Napoli	13	8	2	3	+14	26
4	Lazio	12	7	4	1	+15	25
5	Fiorentina	12	8	1	3	+15	25
6	Roma	14	7	4	3	+5	25
7	Torino	13	7	3	3	+12	24
8	Juventus	13	7	3	3	+8	24
9	Verona	13	7	2	4	+10	23
10	Bologna	13	6	2	5	+1	20
11	Sampdoria	14	4	3	7	-3	15
12	Udinese	12	3	6	3	-3	15
13	Atalanta	12	3	5	4	+2	14
14	Sassuolo	13	3	5	5	-4	14
15	Spezia	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Cagliari	13	2	6	5	-6	12
17	Empoli	13	3	2	8	-14	11
18	Venezia	13	2	4	7	-10	10
19	Genoa	13	0	7	6	-10	7
20	Salernitana	12	1	3	8	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	13	9	3	1	+14	30
2	Atalanta	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Napoli	13	8	4	1	+15	28
4	Inter	13	7	5	1	+15	26
5	Juventus	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Empoli	13	5	5	3	+2	20
7	Sassuolo	13	5	4	4	+3	19
8	Lazio	14	5	3	6	-2	18
9	Fiorentina	13	5	2	6	-5	17
10	Roma	12	5	1	6	+5	16
11	Verona	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Spezia	14	4	2	8	-17	14
13	Venezia	12	3	3	6	-11	12
14	Sampdoria	12	3	2	7	-4	11
15	Udinese	13	2	5	6	-7	11
16	Bologna	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	Genoa	14	1	7	6	-15	10
18	Cagliari	13	2	4	7	-15	10
19	Torino	12	2	3	7	-6	9
20	Salernitana	12	2	2	8	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.