Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bologna
Verona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |
Fiorentina
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 |
Torino
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 7 |
Milan
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Atalanta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Roma
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Spezia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Salernitana
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Empoli
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 |
Cremonese
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Bologna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Lecce
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 |
Sampdoria
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 |
Monza
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ł. Skorupski
G
L. De Silvestri
D
N. Domínguez
M
A. Cambiaso
M
R. Orsolini
F
Coach: S. Mihajlović
L. Montipò
G
D. Coppola
D
P. Retsos
D
M. Hongla
M
I. Ilić
M
Coach: G. Cioffi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lazio
Bologna
Bologna
Cosenza
Genoa
Bologna
Bologna
Sassuolo
Venezia
Bologna
M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.