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Serie A
Referee: M Marcenaro
Bologna
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Verona
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
7,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 8
1 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 16. · Verona 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Fiorentina 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Torino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Spezia 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Salernitana 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Empoli 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Udinese 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Lecce 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Monza 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Verona
1–0 M. Arnautović
D. Kasius
21′
22′
🟨 Diego Coppola
23′
🟨 Martin Hongla
43′
T. Henry 1–1
D. Lazović
Riccardo Orsolini ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Koray Günter
52′
🔁 F. Terracciano
↦ M. Faraoni
Kevin Bonifazi 🟨
53′
E. Vignato 🔁
↦ R. Soriano
64′
C. Lykogiannis 🔁
↦ D. Kasius
65′
Riccardo Orsolini 🟥
78′
81′
🔁 Miguel Veloso
↦ M. Hongla
Nicolás Domínguez 🟨
87′
M. Aebischer 🔁
↦ N. Domínguez
89′
89′
🔁 M. Đurić
↦ T. Henry
Marko Arnautović 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

3-4-1-2
28 Ł. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
17 G. Medel D
14 K. Bonifazi D
33 D. Kasius M
8 N. Domínguez M
30 J. Schouten M
50 A. Cambiaso M
21 R. Soriano F
7 R. Orsolini F
9 M. Arnautović F
Bench (13)
55 E. Vignato
22 C. Lykogiannis
20 M. Aebischer
82 K. Urbański
92 I. Mbaye
99 M. Barrow
4 J. Sosa
3 M. Angeli
1 F. Bardi
18 A. Raimondo
66 W. Amey
23 N. Bagnolini
10 N. Sansone

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Verona

3-5-2
1 L. Montipò G
42 D. Coppola D
21 K. Günter D
45 P. Retsos D
5 M. Faraoni M
61 A. Tamèze M
18 M. Hongla M
14 I. Ilić M
8 D. Lazović M
9 T. Henry F
11 K. Lasagna F
Bench (11)
24 F. Terracciano
4 Miguel Veloso
19 M. Đurić
77 I. Sulemana
23 G. Magnani
34 S. Perilli
72 A. Cortinovis
2 B. Amione
22 A. Berardi
28 M. Praszelik
3 J. Doig

Coach: G. Cioffi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,50
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.