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Serie A
Referee: D Massa
Lazio
S S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Torino
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 42%
52%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
72%
34%
Both score Ø 59%
66%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,20 xG 0,39
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 8. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 +39 +30.0 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 +23 +17.7 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 +34 +22.2 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 +16 +12.6 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 +18 +13.1 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 +15 +11.3 52
7 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 +17 +5.2 51
8 Lazio 29 15 6 8 +9 +11.6 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 +10 +18.7 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 -5 -8.1 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 +0 -13.7 38
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 -10 -6.8 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 -11 +0.7 30
14 Verona 30 9 3 18 -29 -16.9 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 -13 -10.6 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 -14 -14.3 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 -28 -21.5 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 -23 -15.0 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 -20 -18.1 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 -28 -18.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Torino
7′
🟨 Valentino Lazaro
Mattia Zaccagni 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Guillermo Maripán
57′
🟨 Samuele Ricci
1–0 A. Marušić
Pedro
57′
65′
🟨 Sebastian Walukiewicz
T. Noslin 🔁
↦ B. Dia
66′
Mattéo Guendouzi 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ N. Vlašić
71′
🔁 Y. Karamoh
↦ S. Walukiewicz
71′
🔁 G. Gineitis
↦ C. Casadei
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ E. Hysaj
73′
F. Dele-Bashiru 🔁
↦ Pedro
73′
82′
G. Gineitis 1–1
86′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ V. Lazaro
86′
🔁 I. Ilić
↦ C. Adams
L. Tchaouna 🔁
↦ G. Isaksen
89′
Alessio Romagnoli 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lazio

4-2-3-1
94 I. Provedel G
23 E. Hysaj D
2 S. Gigot D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
8 M. Guendouzi M
6 N. Rovella M
18 G. Isaksen M
9 Pedro M
10 M. Zaccagni M
19 B. Dia F
Bench (11)
14 T. Noslin
3 L. Pellegrini
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
20 L. Tchaouna
55 A. Furlanetto
35 C. Mandas
29 M. Lazzari
26 T. Bašić
21 R. Belahyane
34 Mario Gila
25 O. Provstgaard

Coach: M. Baroni

Torino

4-2-3-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
4 S. Walukiewicz D
13 G. Maripán D
23 Saúl Coco D
34 C. Biraghi D
28 S. Ricci M
22 C. Casadei M
20 V. Lazaro M
10 N. Vlašić M
11 E. Elmas M
18 C. Adams F
Bench (12)
9 A. Sanabria
7 Y. Karamoh
66 G. Gineitis
16 M. Pedersen
8 I. Ilić
17 A. Donnarumma
1 A. Paleari
77 K. Linetty
24 B. Sosa
21 A. Dembélé
61 A. Tamèze
5 A. Masina

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
3,56
B
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.