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Serie A
Referee: S Sozza
Torino
S S U S T
2–3
Full-time
Lazio
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,68 xG 2,07
58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 4. · Lazio 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Juventus 6 3 3 0 +9 +4.4 12
2 Milan 6 3 2 1 +7 +4.7 11
3 Inter 6 3 2 1 +6 +3.8 11
4 Torino 5 3 2 0 +3 -1.1 11
5 Napoli 5 3 1 1 +5 +2.3 10
6 Udinese 6 3 1 2 -1 -4.2 10
7 Empoli 5 2 3 0 +3 -1.4 9
8 Lazio 5 2 1 2 +1 +1.7 7
9 Atalanta 6 2 1 3 -1 +3.4 7
10 Bologna 6 1 4 1 -2 -0.9 7
11 Roma 5 1 3 1 +2 +1.3 6
12 Verona 5 2 0 3 +0 -2.0 6
13 Fiorentina 5 1 3 1 +0 +3.0 6
14 Parma 5 1 2 2 -1 -0.8 5
15 Como 5 1 2 2 -3 -0.5 5
16 Genoa 6 1 2 3 -6 -3.9 5
17 Lecce 6 1 2 3 -8 -3.1 5
18 Venezia 5 1 1 3 -5 -3.1 4
19 Monza 5 0 3 2 -2 -3.8 3
20 Cagliari 5 0 2 3 -7 +0.0 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Lazio
8′
M. Guendouzi 0–1
Nuno Tavares
Half-time 0–1
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ B. Sosa
46′
C. Adams 🔁
↦ A. Tamèze
46′
Antonio Sanabria 🟨
54′
60′
B. Dia 0–2
G. Isaksen
62′
🟨 Gustav Isaksen
N. Vlašić 🔁
↦ A. Sanabria
63′
A. Njie 🔁
↦ V. Lazaro
63′
1–2 C. Adams
N. Vlašić
67′
68′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ Nuno Tavares
68′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ B. Dia
68′
🔁 L. Tchaouna
↦ G. Isaksen
Ivan Ilić 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Mario Gila Fuentes
75′
🟨 Mattia Zaccagni
G. Maripán 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
78′
80′
🔁 A. Marušić
↦ M. Lazzari
89′
🔁 T. Noslin
↦ V. Castellanos
89′
T. Noslin 1–3
M. Vecino
2–3 Saúl Coco
A. Masina
92′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
1 A. Paleari G
27 M. Vojvoda D
23 Saúl Coco D
5 A. Masina D
20 V. Lazaro M
28 S. Ricci M
61 A. Tamèze M
8 I. Ilić M
24 B. Sosa M
9 A. Sanabria F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
16 M. Pedersen
18 C. Adams
10 N. Vlašić
92 A. Njie
13 G. Maripán
66 G. Gineitis
17 A. Donnarumma
45 F. Plaia
77 K. Linetty
4 S. Walukiewicz
21 A. Dembélé
7 Y. Karamoh

Coach: P. Vanoli

Lazio

4-2-3-1
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
30 Nuno Tavares D
8 M. Guendouzi M
6 N. Rovella M
18 G. Isaksen M
19 B. Dia M
10 M. Zaccagni M
11 V. Castellanos F
Bench (11)
3 L. Pellegrini
5 M. Vecino
20 L. Tchaouna
77 A. Marušić
14 T. Noslin
9 Pedro
35 C. Mandas
55 A. Furlanetto
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
22 G. Castrovilli
4 Patric

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
3,21
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.