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Ligue 2

Referee: E Rosier

Paris FC

T S S S T

4–2

Full-time

Caen

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

59%

19%

Points per game

1,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

52%

44%

Both score Ø 43%

44%

41%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 3. · Caen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	28	18	4	6	+24	58
2	Metz	28	16	8	4	+27	56
3	Paris FC	27	16	4	7	+14	52
4	Guingamp	28	15	3	10	+13	48
5	Dunkerque	28	15	3	10	+5	48
6	Laval	28	12	7	9	+9	43
7	Bastia	28	9	13	6	+4	40
8	Annecy	28	11	7	10	-5	40
9	Grenoble	28	10	7	11	+0	37
10	Pau FC	28	9	10	9	-6	37
11	Ajaccio	28	10	4	14	-10	34
12	Amiens	28	10	4	14	-13	34
13	Troyes	28	10	3	15	+0	33
14	Red Star	28	9	6	13	-13	33
15	Rodez	28	8	8	12	+2	32
16	Martigues	28	8	4	16	-21	28
17	Clermont	28	6	9	13	-13	27
18	Caen	27	5	4	18	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	14	12	1	1	+24	37
2	Metz	15	10	4	1	+22	34
3	Dunkerque	14	10	0	4	+10	30
4	Paris FC	13	9	2	2	+11	29
5	Bastia	14	7	7	0	+12	28
6	Guingamp	14	8	2	4	+14	26
7	Grenoble	15	7	5	3	+7	26
8	Amiens	14	8	2	4	+2	26
9	Pau FC	14	7	4	3	+2	25
10	Annecy	13	7	2	4	+4	23
11	Ajaccio	14	7	2	5	+3	23
12	Laval	13	6	3	4	+6	21
13	Red Star	14	6	3	5	-2	21
14	Troyes	13	5	2	6	+3	17
15	Rodez	13	5	2	6	+1	17
16	Clermont	15	2	8	5	-1	14
17	Caen	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Martigues	15	3	2	10	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	14	7	2	5	+3	23
2	Metz	13	6	4	3	+5	22
3	Laval	15	6	4	5	+3	22
4	Guingamp	14	7	1	6	-1	22
5	Lorient	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Dunkerque	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Annecy	15	4	5	6	-9	17
8	Martigues	13	5	2	6	-10	17
9	Troyes	15	5	1	9	-3	16
10	Rodez	15	3	6	6	+1	15
11	Clermont	13	4	1	8	-12	13
12	Pau FC	14	2	6	6	-8	12
13	Bastia	14	2	6	6	-8	12
14	Red Star	14	3	3	8	-11	12
15	Grenoble	13	3	2	8	-7	11
16	Ajaccio	14	3	2	9	-13	11
17	Amiens	14	2	2	10	-15	8
18	Caen	13	2	1	10	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.