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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Steinar Hauge
Aalesund
S S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Sep -23 Aalesund – Lillestrom 1–1 19. Jul -23 Lillestrom – Aalesund 5–1 6. Nov -22 Aalesund – Lillestrom 2–1 29. Jun -22 Lillestrom – Aalesund 1–0 28. Apr -22 Lillestrom – Aalesund 2–0

Match report

Aalesund Lillestrom
1–0 C. Braga ⚽
J. Seehusen
5′
11′
⚽ E. Kitolano 1–1
M. Karlsbakk
2–1 D. Johannsson ⚽
J. Seehusen
25′
43′
⚽ T. Olsen 2–2
F. Elkaer
Half-time 2–2
50′
🟨 E. Kitolano
A. Kjelsen 🟨
55′
H. Melland 🔁
↦ H. Hammer
60′
F. Heiselberg 🔁
↦ P. Ngongo
60′
68′
🔁 L. Ranger
↦ E. Larsson
68′
🔁 J. Adedeji
↦ S. Drammeh
C. Braga 🟨
74′
K. Lonebu 🔁
↦ C. Braga
83′
83′
🔁 K. Krygard
↦ M. Karlsbakk
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 A. Kjelsen
45 P. Aukland
25 J. Kitolano
2 M. Andresen
11 D. Johannsson
6 H. Hammer
66 J. Seehusen
7 K. Nesso
9 P. Ngongo
10 C. Braga
Bench (9)
26 T. Larsen
3 O. Gudmundsson
4 S. Haram
8 H. Melland
19 F. Heiselberg
29 J. Boe
33 M. V. Doving
34 T. Gulbrandsen
39 K. Lonebu

Coach: Kjetil André Rekdal

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
64 E. Larsson
4 E. B. Garnas
28 R. Gabrielsen
11 F. Elkaer
17 E. Kitolano
6 V. Hoff
8 M. Karlsbakk
20 Felix Va
10 T. Olsen
15 S. Drammeh
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
2 L. Ranger
5 S. Foss
9 K. Arierhi
14 J. Adedeji
18 K. Krygard
25 L. Neto
30 L. Svenningsen
33 M. Diop

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.