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Serie A
Referee: G Collu
Torino
U S U U T
2–0
Full-time
Udinese
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
34%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 1,13
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 10. · Udinese 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 +40 +31.5 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 +27 +19.6 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 +36 +23.9 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 +15 +11.9 60
5 Juventus 32 15 14 3 +19 +13.0 59
6 Roma 33 16 9 8 +16 +11.6 57
7 Lazio 32 16 8 8 +10 +13.4 56
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 +17 +4.7 53
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 +13 +19.0 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 -1 -14.5 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 -10 -9.2 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 -5 +2.8 39
13 Genoa 32 9 12 11 -9 -7.7 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 -30 -16.9 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 -15 -11.7 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 -14 -15.1 28
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 -32 -21.9 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 -19 -17.2 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 -26 -16.4 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 -32 -20.8 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Udinese
Guillermo Maripán 🟨
38′
1–0 C. Adams
39′
Half-time 1–0
S. Walukiewicz 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
63′
63′
🔁 K. Davis
↦ Iker Bravo
63′
🔁 Rui Modesto
↦ K. Ehizibue
Y. Karamoh 🔁
↦ S. Ricci
64′
71′
🔁 S. Pafundi
↦ S. Lovrić
A. Dembélé 🔁
↦ A. Masina
76′
S. Perciun 🔁
↦ E. Elmas
76′
Gvidas Gineitis 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 D. Pizarro
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
83′
🔁 A. Sánchez
↦ M. Payero
2–0 A. Dembélé
85′
A. Tamèze 🔁
↦ C. Casadei
88′
90′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
93′
🟨 Jaka Bijol
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Torino

4-4-2
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
16 M. Pedersen D
13 G. Maripán D
5 A. Masina D
34 C. Biraghi D
66 G. Gineitis M
28 S. Ricci M
77 K. Linetty M
11 E. Elmas M
22 C. Casadei F
18 C. Adams F
Bench (9)
4 S. Walukiewicz
7 Y. Karamoh
21 A. Dembélé
83 S. Perciun
61 A. Tamèze
9 A. Sanabria
17 A. Donnarumma
95 A. Cacciamani
1 A. Paleari

Coach: P. Vanoli

Udinese

4-4-1-1
40 M. Okoye G
19 K. Ehizibue D
29 J. Bijol D
28 O. Solet D
11 H. Kamara D
14 A. Atta M
8 S. Lovrić M
25 J. Karlström M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
5 M. Payero F
21 Iker Bravo F
Bench (12)
9 K. Davis
77 Rui Modesto
20 S. Pafundi
99 D. Pizarro
7 A. Sánchez
16 M. Palma
31 T. Kristensen
27 C. Kabasele
30 L. Giannetti
90 R. Sava
6 Oier Zarraga
93 D. Padelli

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,01
B
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,47
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.