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Bundesliga

Referee: C Jäeger

Austria Vienna

S S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 62%

58%

65%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

69%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

62%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Austria Vienna 2. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	26	17	5	4	+28	56
2	Austria Vienna	26	15	5	6	+15	50
3	Salzburg	27	13	9	5	+15	48
4	LASK	27	14	4	9	+8	46
5	Wolfsberger AC	27	13	6	8	+19	45
6	SK Rapid	27	10	7	10	+1	37
7	BW Linz	27	11	3	13	-4	36
8	Hartberg	27	8	9	10	-4	33
9	Tirol	27	6	8	13	-12	26
10	A. Klagenfurt	27	6	7	14	-27	25
11	Grazer AK	27	4	9	14	-21	21
12	Altach	27	4	8	15	-18	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	13	10	2	1	+24	32
2	Austria Vienna	13	9	2	2	+12	29
3	Salzburg	14	8	4	2	+16	28
4	SK Rapid	13	9	1	3	+13	28
5	BW Linz	14	8	0	6	+5	24
6	Wolfsberger AC	13	6	3	4	+10	21
7	LASK	13	6	2	5	+2	20
8	Hartberg	13	4	4	5	-2	16
9	Tirol	14	3	6	5	-5	15
10	A. Klagenfurt	14	3	5	6	-6	14
11	Grazer AK	14	2	5	7	-9	11
12	Altach	13	1	6	6	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	14	8	2	4	+6	26
2	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	3	4	+9	24
3	Sturm Graz	13	7	3	3	+4	24
4	Austria Vienna	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Salzburg	13	5	5	3	-1	20
6	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
7	BW Linz	13	3	3	7	-9	12
8	Tirol	13	3	2	8	-7	11
9	Altach	14	3	2	9	-13	11
10	A. Klagenfurt	13	3	2	8	-21	11
11	Grazer AK	13	2	4	7	-12	10
12	SK Rapid	14	1	6	7	-12	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.