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Serie A
Referee: M Marchetti
Udinese
S S U U T
1–2
Full-time
Torino
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
60%
30%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
70%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 6. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 10 8 2 0 +16 26
2 Milan 11 8 2 1 +13 26
3 Atalanta 10 7 3 0 +10 24
4 Roma 10 7 1 2 +4 22
5 Lazio 10 6 3 1 +16 21
6 Udinese 10 6 3 1 +9 21
7 Inter 11 7 0 4 +5 21
8 Juventus 11 5 4 2 +10 19
9 Salernitana 11 3 4 4 -3 13
10 Sassuolo 10 3 3 4 +0 12
11 Torino 10 3 2 5 -4 11
12 Empoli 11 2 5 4 -6 11
13 Fiorentina 11 2 4 5 -5 10
14 Monza 11 3 1 7 -9 10
15 Spezia 11 2 3 6 -11 9
16 Lecce 10 1 5 4 -3 8
17 Bologna 10 1 4 5 -7 7
18 Verona 10 1 2 7 -10 5
19 Cremonese 10 0 4 6 -12 4
20 Sampdoria 10 0 3 7 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Torino
14′
O. Aina 0–1
A. Miranchuk
1–1 Deulofeu
D. Udogie
26′
Isaac Success 🟨
32′
34′
🟨 Valentino Lazaro
Half-time 1–1
61′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ A. Miranchuk
61′
🔁 M. Vojvoda
↦ V. Lazaro
Beto 🔁
↦ I. Success
65′
S. Lovrić 🔁
↦ L. Samardžić
65′
T. Arslan 🔁
↦ J. Makengo
65′
66′
🔁 K. Linetty
↦ S. Ricci
68′
🟨 Ola Aina
69′
P. Pellegri 1–2
N. Radonjić
71′
🟨 Vanja Milinković-Savić
I. Nestorovski 🔁
↦ Walace
81′
K. Ehizibue 🔁
↦ N. Pérez
81′
Jaka Bijol 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Karol Linetty
90′
🔁 Y. Karamoh
↦ P. Pellegri
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
18 N. Pérez D
29 J. Bijol D
23 E. Ebosse D
37 R. Pereyra M
24 L. Samardžić M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
13 D. Udogie M
7 I. Success F
10 Deulofeu F
Bench (12)
9 Beto
4 S. Lovrić
5 T. Arslan
30 I. Nestorovski
19 K. Ehizibue
14 J. Abankwah
15 Leonardo Buta
2 F. Ebosele
99 E. Piana
8 M. Jajalo
20 D. Padelli
17 B. Nuytinck

Coach: A. Sottil

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
6 D. Zima D
3 P. Schuurs D
4 A. Buongiorno D
34 O. Aina M
10 S. Lukić M
28 S. Ricci M
19 V. Lazaro M
59 A. Miranchuk F
16 N. Vlašić F
11 P. Pellegri F
Bench (14)
49 N. Radonjić
27 M. Vojvoda
77 K. Linetty
7 Y. Karamoh
21 M. Adopo
89 L. Gemello
36 M. Garbett
23 D. Seck
14 E. İlkhan
73 M. Fiorenza
17 W. Singo
26 K. Djidji
13 R. Rodríguez
9 A. Sanabria

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U
3,37
B ✓
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.