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Premier League
Referee: Jarred Gillett
Man City
S S S U T
2–1
Full-time
Bournemouth
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,25 xG 0,65
66% Possession 34%
13 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. May -26 Bournemouth – Man City 1–1 2. Nov -25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 20. May -25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 30. Mar -25 Bournemouth – Man City 1–2 2. Nov -24 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1

Match report

Man City Bournemouth
26′
⚽ M. Tavernier 0–1
Evanilson
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Evanilson
M. Nunes 🔁
↦ R. Lewis
57′
M. Kovacic 🔁
↦ E. Anderson
63′
R. Cherki 🔁
↦ N. O'Reilly
63′
75′
🔁 T. Adams
↦ L. Cook
75′
🔁 A. Toth
↦ J. Kluivert
75′
🔁 D. Jebbison
↦ Evanilson
Phil Foden 🟨
78′
J. Grealish 🔁
↦ P. Foden
82′
1–1 M. Guehi ⚽
R. Cherki
84′
85′
🟨 António Silva
89′
🔁 B. Gannon-Doak
↦ Rayan
2–1 J. Gvardiol ⚽
R. Cherki
90′
Joško Gvardiol ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
1 G. Donnarumma G
82 R. Lewis D
45 A. Khusanov D
3 R. Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
5 E. Anderson M
6 M. Guehi M
47 P. Foden M
33 N. O'Reilly M
42 A. Semenyo M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
28 G. Rulli
21 R. Ait-Nouri
22 Vitor Reis
18 J. Grealish
27 M. Nunes
8 M. Kovacic
14 Nico
10 R. Cherki
7 O. Marmoush

Coach: Enzo Maresca

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 D. Petrovic G
15 A. Smith D
5 J. Hill D
14 A. Silva D
3 A. Truffert D
4 L. Cook M
8 A. Scott M
37 Rayan M
19 J. Kluivert M
16 M. Tavernier M
9 Evanilson F
Bench (9)
40 W. Dennis
18 B. Diakite
24 J. Sanchez
12 T. Adams
27 A. Toth
30 A. Rodriguez
7 D. Brooks
29 D. Jebbison
11 B. Gannon-Doak

Coach: Marco Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
🔒
U
4,72
🔒
B
5,93
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,41
🔒
U2,5
2,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.