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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Lechner
1–2
Full-time
Bochum
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 MSV Duisburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Lüneburger SK Hansa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
25 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -4 0
26 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
27 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
28 Eintracht Trier 1 0 0 1 -6 0
29 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
30 SC St. Tönis 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Bochum
25′
C. Rasmussen 0–1
36′
🔁 J. Mbom
↦ O. Olsen
Half-time 0–1
Krisztián Keresztes 🟨
57′
Paul Will 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Jean-Manuel Mbom
63′
🔁 A. Crimaldi
↦ C. Rasmussen
63′
🔁 D. Hanslik
↦ B. Taz
64′
P. Hofmann 0–2
L. Reich 🔁
↦ J. Dehm
68′
A. Keller 🔁
↦ O. Pohlmann
68′
74′
🔁 L. Sawas
↦ M. Wittek
M. Dal 🔁
↦ K. Keresztes
75′
75′
🔁 T. Meyer
↦ M. Pannewig
1–2 M. Dal
L. Itter
77′
80′
🟨 Enis Çokaj
O. Balliu 🔁
↦ S. Banse
84′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-4-2
1 F. Hellstern G
23 J. Dehm D
22 J. Heuer D
29 K. Keresztes D
27 L. Itter D
8 S. Appelkamp M
6 S. Banse M
13 P. Will M
10 O. Pohlmann M
30 F. Klaus F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
43 S. Prufrock
2 L. Reich
17 N. Konig
5 M. Dal
48 J. Krautkramer
28 D. Arifi
11 A. Keller
45 O. Balliu
21 M. Wallentowitz

Coach: Heiko Vogel

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
13 O. Olsen D
15 M. Steinwender D
5 K. Mets D
32 M. Wittek D
6 E. Cokaj M
24 M. Pannewig M
23 K. Miyoshi M
10 B. Taz M
7 C. Rasmussen M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
38 H. Rolleke
4 Y. Karademir
31 L. Sawas
40 A. Wagbe
34 T. Meyer
8 J. Mbom
39 L. Isbruch
37 A. Crimaldi
19 D. Hanslik

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.