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Superligaen
Referee: Jens Maae
Midtjylland
S S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Randers FC
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Randers FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,28 xG 1,03
58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 26
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 4. · Randers FC 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 4 3 1 0 +5 +6.9 10
2 Brondby 4 3 1 0 +4 -1.0 10
3 FC Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +7 -0.1 9
4 Midtjylland 3 2 1 0 +2 +1.6 7
5 Viborg 4 2 1 1 +1 +1.3 7
6 Horsens 4 1 1 2 -2 -2.4 4
7 Silkeborg 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.1 4
8 Randers FC 4 1 1 2 -3 -3.9 4
9 Odense 4 1 0 3 -2 +0.1 3
10 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 -1 +0.3 2
11 Lyngby 4 0 2 2 -3 +1.7 2
12 Sonderjyske 5 0 1 4 -6 -3.5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Randers FC
1–0 D. Osorio
28′
Magnus Jensen 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
D. Castillo 🔁
↦ P. Billing
46′
46′
🔁 P. Izzo
↦ J. Storch
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ K. Watjen
54′
F. Etim 🔁
↦ S. Iheanacho
54′
56′
🟨 Laurits Pedersen
M. Erlic 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
60′
62′
🔁 M. Sankoh
↦ K. Junker
75′
🟨 Elies Mahmoud
78′
🔁 F. Sommer
↦ S. Hansen
78′
🔁 C. Edudzi
↦ M. Sjolstad
D. Beni 🔁
↦ S. Johannesen
84′
84′
🔁 M. Toure
↦ E. Mahmoud
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-5-2
1 E. Olafsson G
5 R. Kristensen D
3 M. Jensen D
22 M. B. Sorensen D
11 D. Osorio M
8 P. Billing M
19 P. Bravo M
29 K. Watjen M
27 S. Johannesen M
18 S. Iheanacho F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
Bench (9)
25 N. Bakker
6 M. Erlic
13 A. Gabriel
15 D. Beni
21 D. Castillo
20 V. Byskov
7 Franculino
90 F. Etim
38 J. Emefile

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Randers FC

4-2-3-1
32 J. Storch G
24 S. Hansen D
3 D. Hoegh D
4 W. Dammers D
44 N. Dyhr D
17 M. Greve M
8 L. Pedersen M
7 M. Themsen M
11 E. Mahmoud M
15 M. Sjolstad M
77 K. Junker F
Bench (9)
1 P. Izzo
5 O. Jones
31 F. Sommer
38 M. Albaek
26 H. Lux
30 M. Sankoh
33 C. Edudzi
9 A. Al Hamawi
19 M. Toure

Coach: Rasmus Bertelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jens Maae · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.