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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Metz

T U U S S

3–1

Full-time

St Etienne

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

24%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

57%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 17. · St Etienne 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	18	1	3	+43	55
2	Marseille	21	12	6	3	+9	42
3	Rennes	22	12	4	6	+8	40
4	Lille	22	10	4	8	+1	34
5	Montpellier	22	9	6	7	+4	33
6	Lyon	22	9	5	8	+14	32
7	Reims	22	8	8	6	+6	32
8	Nice	22	9	5	8	+2	32
9	Nantes	22	10	2	10	-1	32
10	Strasbourg	22	9	3	10	-1	30
11	Angers	22	8	6	8	-5	30
12	Bordeaux	21	8	5	8	+6	29
13	Monaco	22	8	5	9	-2	29
14	Brest	22	7	7	8	-2	28
15	St Etienne	21	8	4	9	-8	28
16	Dijon	22	6	6	10	-5	24
17	Metz	21	5	8	8	-9	23
18	Amiens	22	4	7	11	-17	19
19	Nimes	22	4	6	12	-17	18
20	Toulouse	22	3	4	15	-26	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	1	1	+26	28
2	Lille	11	8	2	1	+11	26
3	Montpellier	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	Nice	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+8	24
6	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+5	22
7	Angers	12	6	3	3	+6	21
8	Brest	11	5	5	1	+10	20
9	Strasbourg	11	6	2	3	+5	20
10	Monaco	11	6	1	4	+5	19
11	Dijon	11	5	4	2	+4	19
12	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
13	St Etienne	11	4	4	3	-1	16
14	Reims	11	3	6	2	+3	15
15	Lyon	10	4	2	4	+8	14
16	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+7	14
17	Nimes	11	4	2	5	+0	14
18	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
19	Amiens	11	3	4	4	-4	13
20	Toulouse	10	3	0	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	0	2	+17	27
2	Lyon	12	5	3	4	+6	18
3	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+1	18
5	Reims	11	5	2	4	+3	17
6	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Nantes	11	4	1	6	-3	13
8	St Etienne	10	4	0	6	-7	12
9	Strasbourg	11	3	1	7	-6	10
10	Monaco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Metz	11	2	4	5	-10	10
12	Angers	10	2	3	5	-11	9
13	Nice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
14	Montpellier	11	1	5	5	-8	8
15	Lille	11	2	2	7	-10	8
16	Brest	11	2	2	7	-12	8
17	Amiens	11	1	3	7	-13	6
18	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-9	5
19	Nimes	11	0	4	7	-17	4
20	Toulouse	12	0	4	8	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.