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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Lorient
T T U T T
3–2
Full-time
Dijon
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 13%
16%
10%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
58%
30%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
40%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 20. · Dijon 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 14 3 4 +37 45
2 Lille 21 13 6 2 +21 45
3 Lyon 21 12 7 2 +25 43
4 Monaco 21 12 3 6 +12 39
5 Rennes 21 10 6 5 +7 36
6 Marseille 20 9 5 6 +5 32
7 Bordeaux 21 9 5 7 +3 32
8 Metz 21 8 7 6 +5 31
9 Lens 21 9 4 8 +0 31
10 Angers 21 9 3 9 -7 30
11 Montpellier 21 8 4 9 -6 28
12 Nice 20 7 5 8 -5 26
13 Brest 21 8 2 11 -6 26
14 Reims 21 6 6 9 -2 24
15 Strasbourg 21 7 3 11 -3 24
16 St Etienne 21 4 7 10 -15 19
17 Nantes 21 3 9 9 -14 18
18 Dijon 20 2 9 9 -14 15
19 Nimes 20 4 3 13 -25 15
20 Lorient 19 3 3 13 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -20 Dijon – Lorient 0–0 28. Jan -17 Lorient – Dijon 2–3 22. Oct -16 Dijon – Lorient 1–0

Match report

Lorient Dijon
10′
🟨 Mama Baldé
26′
🟨 Moussa Konaté
1–0 T. Chalobah ⚽
30′
39′
⚽ B. Écuélé Manga 1–1
S. Boey
42′
⚽ Mama Baldé 1–2
F. Sammaritano
Half-time 2–2
2–2 T. Moffi ⚽
J. Delaplace
58′
Yoann Etienne 🟨
65′
L. Abergel 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
70′
72′
🔁 R. Assalé
↦ F. Sammaritano
72′
🔁 B. Celina
↦ E. Ebimbe
73′
🟨 Didier N'Dong
79′
🔁 W. Lautoa
↦ P. Diop
E. Le Fée 🔁
↦ F. Lemoine
80′
P. Hamel 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
87′
88′
🔁 M. Dobre
↦ Mama Baldé
Trevoh Chalobah 🟨
90′
3–2 A. Gravillon ⚽
E. Le Fée
96′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Lorient

4-3-3
1 M. Dreyer G
21 J. Morel D
31 Y. Etienne D
2 A. Gravillon D
18 F. Lemoine M
22 J. Delaplace D
23 T. Monconduit M
8 T. Chalobah M
11 Q. Boisgard F
19 Y. Wissa F
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
6 L. Abergel
10 E. Le Fée
29 P. Hamel
15 J. Laporte
24 F. Wadja
16 T. Bartouche
12 S. Marveaux
14 J. Hergault
27 A. Grbić

Coach: C. Pélissier

Dijon

4-4-2
1 A. Racioppi G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
3 G. Ngonda D
5 S. Coulibaly D
2 S. Boey D
7 F. Sammaritano M
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé F
6 P. Diop M
8 E. Ebimbe M
11 M. Konaté F
Bench (9)
15 R. Assalé
9 B. Celina
24 W. Lautoa
29 M. Dobre
21 M. Chouiar
26 F. Chafik
4 J. Panzo
16 S. Allagbé
14 J. Marié

Coach: D. Linarès

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B
3,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,04
🔒
U2,5
1,77
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.