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Pro League

Referee: A Boucaut

Genk

S T T T U

3–2

Full-time

Waregem

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Pro League · 23/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

48%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

57%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 5. · Waregem 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	23	13	5	5	+14	44
2	Club Brugge	21	13	4	4	+28	43
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	12	6	8	+4	42
4	Waregem	27	13	3	11	+2	42
5	Genk	23	11	8	4	+17	41
6	Mechelen	24	12	4	8	+4	40
7	Anderlecht	25	8	13	4	+11	37
8	Standard	22	10	6	6	+7	36
9	Beerschot VA	25	11	3	11	-4	36
10	Charleroi	25	10	4	11	+0	34
11	Eupen	26	8	10	8	-8	34
12	Gent	23	10	3	10	+9	33
13	Oostende	22	9	5	8	+4	32
14	Kortrijk	25	9	5	11	-5	32
15	St Truiden	26	7	6	13	-10	27
16	Cercle Brugge	25	8	1	16	-9	25
17	Mouscron	24	6	7	11	-11	25
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	24	6	7	11	-11	25
19	Waasland-Beveren	24	5	6	13	-21	21
20	Beveren	24	5	6	13	-21	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	11	6	5	0	+15	23
2	Beerschot VA	12	7	2	3	+6	23
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	7	2	4	+2	23
4	Club Brugge	11	7	1	3	+10	22
5	Anderlecht	12	5	7	0	+10	22
6	Antwerp	12	6	4	2	+6	22
7	Oostende	11	6	3	2	+10	21
8	Kortrijk	15	6	2	7	-3	20
9	Standard	12	5	4	3	+4	19
10	Mechelen	13	5	2	6	+2	17
11	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-9	17
12	Charleroi	11	5	1	5	+2	16
13	St Truiden	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	Eupen	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Mouscron	12	3	5	4	+0	14
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	5	4	+0	14
17	Gent	9	3	1	5	+3	10
18	Cercle Brugge	12	3	0	9	-6	9
19	Waasland-Beveren	11	2	1	8	-14	7
20	Beveren	11	2	1	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Gent	14	7	2	5	+6	23
3	Mechelen	11	7	2	2	+2	23
4	Antwerp	11	7	1	3	+8	22
5	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+18	21
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	4	4	+2	19
7	Genk	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Charleroi	14	5	3	6	-2	18
9	Eupen	13	4	6	3	-4	18
10	Standard	10	5	2	3	+3	17
11	Cercle Brugge	13	5	1	7	-3	16
12	Anderlecht	13	3	6	4	+1	15
13	Waasland-Beveren	13	3	5	5	-7	14
14	Beveren	13	3	5	5	-7	14
15	Beerschot VA	13	4	1	8	-10	13
16	Kortrijk	10	3	3	4	-2	12
17	Oostende	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	St Truiden	12	3	2	7	-8	11
19	Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-11	11
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-11	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.