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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Charleroi
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 43%
40%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
52%
77%
Both score Ø 65%
52%
77%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 17
11 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
12 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 24 12 8 4 +18 44
2 Antwerp 23 13 5 5 +14 44
3 Club Brugge 21 13 4 4 +28 43
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 12 6 8 +4 42
5 Waregem 28 13 3 12 +1 42
6 Mechelen 24 12 4 8 +4 40
7 Anderlecht 25 8 13 4 +11 37
8 Beerschot VA 26 11 4 11 -4 37
9 Standard 22 10 6 6 +7 36
10 Charleroi 25 10 4 11 +0 34
11 Eupen 26 8 10 8 -8 34
12 Gent 23 10 3 10 +9 33
13 Kortrijk 26 9 6 11 -5 33
14 Oostende 22 9 5 8 +4 32
15 St Truiden 26 7 6 13 -10 27
16 Cercle Brugge 25 8 1 16 -9 25
17 Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -11 25
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -11 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 24 5 6 13 -21 21
20 Beveren 24 5 6 13 -21 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven
12′
K. Sowah 0–1
S. Schrijvers
Half-time 0–1
Guillaume Gillet 🟨
46′
K. Rezaei 🔁
↦ S. Berahino
46′
46′
🔁 D. Tshimanga
↦ X. Mercier
Mamadou Fall 🟨
49′
60′
🟨 Katuku Derrick Tshimanga
1–1 D. Dessoleil
61′
64′
🟨 Kristiyan Malinov
67′
🔁 D. Vekemans
↦ A. Allemeersch
67′
🔁 O. Myny
↦ T. Vlietinck
81′
🔁 Musa Al-Taamari
↦ S. Schrijvers
Ł. Teodorczyk 🔁
↦ S. Nicholson
82′
M. Bruno 🔁
↦ M. Fall
82′
90′
🟨 Musa Al-Taamari
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
3 O. Vranješ D
24 D. Dessoleil D
12 J. Kayembe F
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
7 J. Botaka F
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
38 S. Berahino F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
10 K. Rezaei
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
77 M. Bruno
5 M. Diagne
34 A. Benchaib
1 N. Penneteau
26 M. Ilaimaharitra

Coach: K. Belhocine

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-3-3
90 R. Romo G
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
33 M. Maertens M
14 K. Sowah M
16 S. Schrijvers F
39 A. Allemeersch F
Bench (7)
3 D. Tshimanga
32 D. Vekemans
22 O. Myny
13 Musa Al-Taamari
21 F. Benković
38 O. Ravet
6 D. Hubert

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,70
B
3,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.