Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Chelsea
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | +23 | 41 |
| 2 |
Man United
|
19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 40 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | +14 | 38 |
| 4 |
West Ham
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 35 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 34 |
| 6 |
Tottenham
|
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 33 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |
Arsenal
|
20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +13 | 29 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +10 | 29 |
| 11 |
Southampton
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 29 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | -3 | 26 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 |
Wolves
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 |
Burnley
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 |
Newcastle
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -15 | 19 |
| 17 |
Brighton
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -33 | 11 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
19 | 1 | 2 | 16 | -22 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Rüdiger
D
B. Chilwell
M
M. Kovačić
M
K. Havertz
F
O. Giroud
F
C. Hudson-Odoi
M
Coach: T. Tuchel
Nélson Semedo
M
M. Kilman
D
R. Aït Nouri
M
Adama Traoré
F
Pedro Neto
F
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leicester
Chelsea
Fulham
Chelsea
Chelsea
Man City
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Chelsea
A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.