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Premiership
Referee: S Kirkland
Livingston
S S S U U
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
39%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
52%
35%
Both score Ø 46%
52%
39%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Kilmarnock 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 25 22 3 0 +58 69
2 Celtic 22 13 7 2 +30 46
3 Aberdeen 24 12 7 5 +7 43
4 Hibernian 24 11 7 6 +9 40
5 Livingston 23 9 5 9 +1 32
6 Dundee United 25 6 10 9 -14 28
7 St Mirren 22 7 5 10 -4 26
8 Kilmarnock 23 7 3 13 -4 24
9 ST Johnstone 25 5 9 11 -11 24
10 Motherwell 24 5 7 12 -15 22
11 Ross County 26 5 5 16 -31 20
12 Hamilton 23 5 4 14 -26 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Kilmarnock
19′
🟨 Alan Power
Marvin Bartley 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Millen
↦ S. Findlay
J. Emmanuel-Thomas 🔁
↦ G. Reilly
59′
S. Robinson 🔁
↦ J. Mullin
60′
C. Sibbald 🔁
↦ M. Bartley
67′
69′
🟨 Brandon Haunstrup
75′
🔁 D. Dabo
↦ C. Burke
J. Kabia 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
76′
84′
🟨 Rory McKenzie
Nicky Devlin 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 N. Kabamba
↦ G. Oakley
1–0 J. Kabia
89′
2–0 S. Pittman
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
5 J. Fitzwater D
3 C. Brown D
6 M. Bartley M
14 J. Mullin M
18 J. Holt M
11 A. Forrest M
20 G. Reilly F
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
17 S. Robinson
10 C. Sibbald
37 J. Kabia
12 J. Serrano
21 J. McMillan
33 S. Lawson
23 J. Longridge
1 R. McCrorie

Coach: D. Martindale

Kilmarnock

4-4-1-1
23 D. Rogers G
17 S. Findlay D
2 A. McGowan D
3 B. Haunstrup D
14 Z. Rossi D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie F
19 M. Pinnock M
27 A. Tshibola M
9 G. Oakley F
Bench (7)
22 R. Millen
26 D. Dabo
11 N. Kabamba
12 D. Whitehall
32 T. Brindley
16 C. Doyle
33 A. Taylor

Coach: A. Dyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,26
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.