Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Livingston
Kilmarnock
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rangers
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 | +58 | 69 |
| 2 |
Celtic
|
22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | +30 | 46 |
| 3 |
Aberdeen
|
24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | +7 | 43 |
| 4 |
Hibernian
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 40 |
| 5 |
Livingston
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 6 |
Dundee United
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | -14 | 28 |
| 7 |
St Mirren
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 |
Kilmarnock
|
23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -4 | 24 |
| 9 |
ST Johnstone
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 24 |
| 10 |
Motherwell
|
24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 22 |
| 11 |
Ross County
|
26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -31 | 20 |
| 12 |
Hamilton
|
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -26 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Stryjek
G
N. Devlin
D
J. Holt
M
A. Forrest
M
Coach: D. Martindale
S. Findlay
D
R. McKenzie
F
A. Tshibola
M
Coach: A. Dyer
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Livingston
Celtic
Celtic
Livingston
Livingston
Ross County
Hibernian
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.