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Bundesliga
Referee: R Eisner
SK Rapid
U S T S S
2–1
Full-time
St. Polten
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
62%
31%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
69%
77%
Both score Ø 62%
77%
46%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
2,3
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 3. · St. Polten 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 13 9 1 3 +26 28
2 Sturm Graz 14 8 4 2 +15 28
3 SK Rapid 13 8 3 2 +12 27
4 LASK 13 7 3 3 +12 24
5 Tirol 13 6 2 5 +3 20
6 Wolfsberger AC 13 5 3 5 -2 18
7 Austria Vienna 14 4 5 5 -1 17
8 St. Polten 13 4 4 5 +0 16
9 Hartberg 14 3 6 5 -10 15
10 Ried 13 4 1 8 -12 13
11 Altach 13 2 2 9 -18 8
12 Admira 14 2 2 10 -25 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid St. Polten
14′
A. Schmidt 0–1
M. Blauensteiner
1–1 C. Knasmüllner
F. Stojković
16′
Half-time 1–1
66′
🔁 M. Steinwender
↦ K. Schulz
2–1 E. Kara
T. Schick
66′
K. Arase 🔁
↦ T. Schick
69′
78′
🟨 Daniel Schutz
80′
🟨 George Davies
80′
🔁 R. Asadi
↦ D. Schütz
80′
🔁 N. Meister
↦ D. Hugi
Y. Demir 🔁
↦ C. Knasmüllner
83′
Maximilian Ullmann 🟨
84′
S. Grahovac 🔁
↦ D. Ljubičić
88′
88′
🔁 S. Tetteh
↦ P. Pokorný
88′
🔁 C. Halper
↦ G. Davies
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
1 R. Strebinger G
22 F. Stojković D
20 M. Hofmann D
31 M. Ullmann D
4 M. Barać D
28 C. Knasmüllner M
13 T. Schick M
8 M. Ritzmaier M
16 D. Petrovič M
39 D. Ljubičić M
29 E. Kara F
Bench (7)
36 K. Arase
48 Y. Demir
14 S. Grahovac
19 D. Alar
25 P. Gartler
30 L. Greiml
32 K. Kitagawa

Coach: D. Kühbauer

St. Polten

4-4-2
1 C. Riegler G
21 K. Schulz D
14 M. Blauensteiner D
3 Luan D
17 A. Muhamedbegovic D
20 D. Schütz M
11 G. Davies M
6 P. Pokorný M
39 R. Ljubičić M
19 D. Hugi F
9 A. Schmidt F
Bench (7)
4 M. Steinwender
8 R. Asadi
7 N. Meister
99 S. Tetteh
22 C. Halper
13 A. Gremsl
29 D. Drescher

Coach: R. Ibertsberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Eisner · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.