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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Lens
T S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Angers
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lens 4. · Angers 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 12 1 1 +18 37
2 Nice 14 8 3 3 +14 27
3 Rennes 14 7 4 3 +12 25
4 Lens 14 7 3 4 +7 24
5 Marseille 13 6 5 2 +8 23
6 Angers 14 5 6 3 +4 21
7 Strasbourg 14 5 4 5 +6 19
8 Monaco 14 5 4 5 +1 19
9 Montpellier 14 5 4 5 +0 19
10 Lyon 13 5 4 4 +0 19
11 Nantes 14 5 3 6 +0 18
12 Lille 14 4 5 5 -3 17
13 Brest 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Lorient 14 3 6 5 -8 15
15 Reims 14 2 7 5 -3 13
16 Bordeaux 14 2 7 5 -9 13
17 Troyes 14 3 4 7 -9 13
18 Clermont 14 3 4 7 -11 13
19 St Etienne 14 2 6 6 -12 12
20 Metz 14 1 6 7 -14 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lens Angers
40′
S. Boufal 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Haïdara 🔁
↦ F. Medina
46′
1–1 G. Kakuta
F. Sotoca
48′
2–1 F. Sotoca
P. Frankowski
55′
Cheick Doucouré 🟨
57′
70′
R. Thomas 2–2
A. Fulgini
C. Jean 🔁
↦ F. Sotoca
77′
77′
🔁 E. Ebosse
↦ S. Doumbia
77′
🔁 C. Ninga
↦ M. Cho
David Costa 🔁
↦ G. Kakuta
78′
Y. Cahuzac 🔁
↦ I. Ganago
78′
Jonathan Clauss 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ A. Fulgini
C. Wooh 🔁
↦ K. Danso
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-1-2
16 J. Leca G
11 J. Clauss M
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
10 G. Kakuta F
8 S. Fofana M
29 P. Frankowski M
28 C. Doucouré M
7 F. Sotoca F
9 I. Ganago F
Bench (8)
21 M. Haïdara
25 C. Jean
20 David Costa
18 Y. Cahuzac
5 C. Wooh
34 J. Varane
27 C. Boli
1 W. Fariñez

Coach: F. Haise

Angers

3-5-2
30 D. Petković G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia M
5 T. Mangani M
7 S. Boufal F
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini M
18 A. Ounahi M
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
6 E. Ebosse
9 C. Ninga
15 P. Capelle
23 A. Bobichon
28 F. El Melali
2 B. Mendy
27 Mathias Lage
19 S. Bahoken
16 A. Mandrea

Coach: G. Baticle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U ✓
3,53
B
4,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.