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Ligue 1
Referee: P Gaillouste
Angers
S T U T U
1–0
Full-time
Lorient
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 69%
69%
69%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 10. · Lorient 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 12 1 1 +18 37
2 Rennes 14 7 4 3 +12 25
3 Nice 13 7 3 3 +13 24
4 Lens 14 7 3 4 +7 24
5 Marseille 13 6 5 2 +8 23
6 Monaco 14 5 4 5 +1 19
7 Montpellier 14 5 4 5 +0 19
8 Lyon 13 5 4 4 +0 19
9 Strasbourg 13 5 3 5 +6 18
10 Angers 13 4 6 3 +3 18
11 Nantes 14 5 3 6 +0 18
12 Lille 14 4 5 5 -3 17
13 Brest 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Lorient 13 3 6 4 -7 15
15 Troyes 13 3 4 6 -8 13
16 Clermont 13 3 4 6 -10 13
17 Reims 13 2 6 5 -3 12
18 Bordeaux 13 2 6 5 -9 12
19 St Etienne 13 1 6 6 -13 9
20 Metz 13 1 5 7 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lorient
Romain Thomas 🟨
26′
Azzeddine Ounahi 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Mangani
68′
Jimmy Cabot 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 A. Laurienté
↦ Q. Boisgard
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ M. Cho
74′
Souleyman Doumbia 🟨
81′
B. Mendy 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
81′
E. Ebosse 🔁
↦ S. Doumbia
82′
85′
🔁 D. Faissal Ouattara
↦ T. Moffi
85′
🔁 S. Soumano
↦ A. Grbić
90′
🔁 R. Bourlès
↦ S. Loric
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Angers

3-1-4-2
30 D. Petković G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia M
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
7 S. Boufal F
11 J. Cabot M
18 A. Ounahi M
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
19 S. Bahoken
2 B. Mendy
6 E. Ebosse
16 A. Mandrea
27 Mathias Lage
26 W. Taibi
28 F. El Melali
23 A. Bobichon
9 C. Ninga

Coach: G. Baticle

Lorient

3-5-2
30 P. Nardi G
15 J. Laporte D
2 Igor Silva M
19 L. Pétrot D
17 H. Mendes D
20 S. Loric M
6 L. Abergel M
11 Q. Boisgard M
10 E. Le Fée M
27 A. Grbić F
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
28 A. Laurienté
38 D. Faissal Ouattara
33 S. Soumano
31 R. Bourlès
34 B. Mouazan
36 R. Labonne
5 T. Fontaine
4 L. Mouyokolo
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,45
B
4,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.