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Ligue 1

Referee: F Batta

Montpellier

S U U T U

1–0

Full-time

Lens

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

22%

56%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 15. · Lens 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	0	1	+14	27
2	Lens	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Nice	9	5	2	2	+12	17
4	Angers	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Lyon	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+6	15
7	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Strasbourg	10	4	2	4	+3	14
9	Nantes	10	4	2	4	+3	14
10	Monaco	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Lorient	9	3	5	1	+1	14
12	Lille	10	4	2	4	-2	14
13	Clermont	10	3	4	3	-7	13
14	Reims	10	2	5	3	-1	11
15	Montpellier	9	2	4	3	+0	10
16	Troyes	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Bordeaux	10	1	5	4	-9	8
18	Metz	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Brest	10	0	5	5	-8	5
20	St Etienne	10	0	4	6	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Lyon	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Strasbourg	6	3	1	2	+6	10
5	Angers	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Nantes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Lille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
9	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
10	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
14	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Brest	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Bordeaux	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	St Etienne	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Metz	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Nice	5	3	0	2	+7	9
4	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Angers	5	1	3	1	+1	6
7	Reims	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+0	5
9	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Lille	6	1	2	3	-2	5
11	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-6	5
12	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-8	5
13	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
14	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Metz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.