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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

T T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Lugo

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 18%

12%

24%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

41%

71%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

19 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 2

17 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 22. · Lugo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	17	13	1	3	+21	40
2	Eibar	17	9	5	3	+5	32
3	Tenerife	17	9	3	5	+8	30
4	Ponferradina	17	8	5	4	+8	29
5	Valladolid	17	8	4	5	+5	28
6	Las Palmas	17	7	6	4	+5	27
7	Malaga	17	7	5	5	-2	26
8	Cartagena	17	8	1	8	-2	25
9	Oviedo	17	5	9	3	+3	24
10	Girona	17	7	3	7	+1	24
11	Ibiza	17	5	8	4	-1	23
12	Zaragoza	17	4	10	3	+0	22
13	Sp Gijon	17	6	4	7	-4	22
14	Huesca	17	5	6	6	+1	21
15	Lugo	17	4	8	5	+0	20
16	Mirandes	17	5	4	8	-4	19
17	Burgos	17	5	4	8	-4	19
18	Leganes	17	4	6	7	-2	18
19	Sociedad B	17	4	5	8	-4	17
20	Fuenlabrada	17	3	8	6	-5	17
21	Amorebieta	17	2	7	8	-8	13
22	Alcorcon	17	2	2	13	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malaga	9	7	2	0	+8	23
2	Almeria	8	7	1	0	+12	22
3	Las Palmas	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	Eibar	8	6	1	1	+6	19
5	Ponferradina	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Cartagena	8	6	0	2	+7	18
7	Valladolid	8	5	2	1	+9	17
8	Tenerife	8	5	1	2	+7	16
9	Sp Gijon	8	5	0	3	+2	15
10	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+5	14
11	Girona	9	4	2	3	+3	14
12	Oviedo	9	3	5	1	+3	14
13	Lugo	9	3	4	2	+1	13
14	Fuenlabrada	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Ibiza	8	2	4	2	+1	10
16	Huesca	9	2	4	3	+0	10
17	Mirandes	9	3	1	5	-3	10
18	Amorebieta	8	2	3	3	+0	9
19	Zaragoza	9	1	6	2	-1	9
20	Leganes	8	1	4	3	-3	7
21	Sociedad B	9	1	3	5	-5	6
22	Alcorcon	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	9	6	0	3	+9	18
2	Tenerife	9	4	2	3	+1	14
3	Zaragoza	8	3	4	1	+1	13
4	Eibar	9	3	4	2	-1	13
5	Ibiza	9	3	4	2	-2	13
6	Leganes	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Huesca	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Sociedad B	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Ponferradina	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Valladolid	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Oviedo	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Girona	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Mirandes	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Lugo	8	1	4	3	-1	7
15	Las Palmas	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Sp Gijon	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	Cartagena	9	2	1	6	-9	7
18	Fuenlabrada	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Burgos	9	1	2	6	-9	5
20	Amorebieta	9	0	4	5	-8	4
21	Malaga	8	0	3	5	-10	3
22	Alcorcon	9	1	0	8	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.