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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Brest

T U U S S

4–0

Full-time

Lens

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

15%

54%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 73%

92%

54%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Brest 17. · Lens 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	1	1	+18	37
2	Rennes	14	7	4	3	+12	25
3	Nice	13	7	3	3	+13	24
4	Lens	13	7	3	3	+11	24
5	Marseille	13	6	5	2	+8	23
6	Monaco	14	5	4	5	+1	19
7	Montpellier	14	5	4	5	+0	19
8	Lyon	13	5	4	4	+0	19
9	Strasbourg	13	5	3	5	+6	18
10	Angers	13	4	6	3	+3	18
11	Nantes	14	5	3	6	+0	18
12	Lille	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Lorient	13	3	6	4	-7	15
14	Troyes	13	3	4	6	-8	13
15	Clermont	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Reims	13	2	6	5	-3	12
17	Brest	13	2	6	5	-5	12
18	Bordeaux	13	2	6	5	-9	12
19	St Etienne	13	1	6	6	-13	9
20	Metz	13	1	5	7	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Rennes	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+7	15
4	Lens	7	4	2	1	+9	14
5	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Strasbourg	7	4	1	2	+10	13
7	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+6	12
9	Nice	7	3	3	1	+5	12
10	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Lorient	6	3	2	1	+2	11
12	Lille	6	3	2	1	+0	11
13	Angers	6	3	1	2	+2	10
14	Clermont	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	St Etienne	7	1	4	2	-3	7
16	Brest	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Reims	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Troyes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
19	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
20	Metz	6	0	3	3	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Nice	6	4	0	2	+8	12
3	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Lens	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Angers	7	1	5	1	+1	8
6	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
7	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
8	Rennes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Reims	7	1	3	3	-2	6
10	Lille	8	1	3	4	-3	6
11	Brest	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	Bordeaux	6	1	3	2	-6	6
13	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Strasbourg	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Montpellier	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Metz	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Clermont	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Lorient	7	0	4	3	-9	4
20	St Etienne	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.