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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Brest

S S S T U

0–3

Full-time

Nice

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 43%

32%

53%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

58%

Both score Ø 61%

79%

42%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

26 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

14 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Brest 13. · Nice 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	14	4	1	+22	46
2	Marseille	19	10	6	3	+12	36
3	Nice	19	10	4	5	+12	34
4	Rennes	20	9	4	7	+15	31
5	Montpellier	19	9	4	6	+9	31
6	Lens	20	8	6	6	+6	30
7	Monaco	19	8	5	6	+6	29
8	Nantes	19	8	4	7	+2	28
9	Lille	19	7	7	5	+0	28
10	Strasbourg	18	7	5	6	+10	26
11	Lyon	18	6	7	5	+0	25
12	Angers	19	6	7	6	-1	25
13	Brest	19	6	7	6	-2	25
14	Reims	19	5	8	6	+0	23
15	Troyes	19	4	5	10	-10	17
16	Clermont	18	4	5	9	-12	17
17	Bordeaux	20	3	8	9	-14	17
18	Metz	19	3	7	9	-16	16
19	Lorient	19	3	7	9	-16	16
20	St Etienne	19	2	6	11	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+15	25
2	Montpellier	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Rennes	10	6	1	3	+11	19
4	Lens	10	5	4	1	+10	19
5	Monaco	10	5	3	2	+8	18
6	Strasbourg	10	5	2	3	+11	17
7	Lyon	9	4	4	1	+6	16
8	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+6	16
9	Nantes	9	5	1	3	+4	16
10	Lille	9	4	4	1	+1	16
11	Nice	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Angers	9	4	1	4	+0	13
13	Reims	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Brest	9	3	3	3	+0	12
15	Lorient	9	3	3	3	-1	12
16	Troyes	10	2	4	4	-1	10
17	Clermont	8	2	3	3	-1	9
18	Metz	9	1	4	4	-5	7
19	Bordeaux	11	1	4	6	-6	7
20	St Etienne	10	1	4	5	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	6	3	1	+7	21
2	Marseille	9	6	2	1	+6	20
3	Nice	9	6	1	2	+10	19
4	Brest	10	3	4	3	-2	13
5	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+4	12
6	Lille	10	3	3	4	-1	12
7	Angers	10	2	6	2	-1	12
8	Nantes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	Montpellier	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Reims	10	2	5	3	-1	11
11	Monaco	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Lens	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Bordeaux	9	2	4	3	-8	10
14	Strasbourg	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Lyon	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Metz	10	2	3	5	-11	9
17	Clermont	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-9	7
19	St Etienne	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Lorient	10	0	4	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.