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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Paris SG
U S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Nice
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 70%
87%
53%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
73%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
22 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Nice 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 1 1 +20 40
2 Marseille 15 8 5 2 +10 29
3 Rennes 16 8 4 4 +13 28
4 Nice 15 8 3 4 +13 27
5 Lens 16 7 5 4 +7 26
6 Strasbourg 16 6 5 5 +9 23
7 Monaco 16 6 5 5 +3 23
8 Angers 16 5 7 4 +2 22
9 Montpellier 16 6 4 6 +1 22
10 Lyon 15 6 4 5 +0 22
11 Brest 16 5 6 5 +1 21
12 Lille 16 5 6 5 -2 21
13 Nantes 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Reims 16 4 7 5 -1 19
15 Troyes 16 4 4 8 -8 16
16 Lorient 16 3 6 7 -12 15
17 Clermont 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18 Bordeaux 16 2 7 7 -13 13
19 Metz 16 2 6 8 -15 12
20 St Etienne 16 2 6 8 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Nice
Danilo Pereira 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
M. Verratti 🔁
↦ E. Ebimbe
62′
66′
🟨 Justin Kluivert
74′
🔁 C. Stengs
↦ J. Kluivert
74′
🔁 K. Thuram-Ulien
↦ M. Lemina
76′
🟨 Hicham Boudaoui
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ P. Kimpembe
77′
M. Icardi 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
77′
80′
🔁 A. Gouiri
↦ H. Boudaoui
88′
🟨 Melvin Bard
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
50 G. Donnarumma G
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
2 A. Hakimi D
25 Nuno Mendes D
11 Á. Di María F
27 I. Gueye M
15 Danilo Pereira M
28 E. Ebimbe M
30 L. Messi F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
6 M. Verratti
8 L. Paredes
9 M. Icardi
12 Rafinha
38 E. Michut
17 C. Dagba
22 A. Diallo
24 T. Kehrer
1 K. Navas

Coach: M. Pochettino

Nice

4-4-2
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
23 J. Lotomba D
25 J. Todibo D
26 M. Bard D
6 M. Schneiderlin M
18 M. Lemina M
28 H. Boudaoui M
7 A. Delort F
9 K. Dolberg F
21 J. Kluivert M
Bench (9)
22 C. Stengs
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
11 A. Gouiri
20 Y. Atal
5 F. Daniliuc
10 A. Claude Maurice
1 M. Bulka
13 H. Kamara
29 L. Da Cunha

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,42
U ✓
5,05
B
6,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.