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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Nice

S T S T U

0–3

Full-time

Strasbourg

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 54%

38%

69%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 4. · Strasbourg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	13	3	1	+20	42
2	Rennes	17	9	4	4	+18	31
3	Marseille	16	8	5	3	+9	29
4	Nice	16	8	4	4	+13	28
5	Lens	17	7	6	4	+7	27
6	Monaco	17	7	5	5	+7	26
7	Angers	17	6	7	4	+3	25
8	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+2	25
9	Brest	17	6	6	5	+2	24
10	Lille	17	6	6	5	-1	24
11	Strasbourg	16	6	5	5	+9	23
12	Lyon	15	6	4	5	+0	22
13	Nantes	17	6	4	7	+0	22
14	Reims	17	4	7	6	-2	19
15	Troyes	17	4	4	9	-9	16
16	Lorient	17	3	6	8	-13	15
17	Clermont	17	3	5	9	-13	14
18	Bordeaux	16	2	7	7	-13	13
19	Metz	17	2	6	9	-19	12
20	St Etienne	17	2	6	9	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+13	22
2	Rennes	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	Strasbourg	9	5	2	2	+13	17
4	Montpellier	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Lens	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Monaco	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	Lyon	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Marseille	9	4	3	2	+6	15
9	Lille	8	4	3	1	+1	15
10	Nantes	8	4	1	3	+3	13
11	Angers	8	4	1	3	+1	13
12	Brest	8	3	3	2	+4	12
13	Nice	8	3	3	2	+4	12
14	Lorient	8	3	2	3	-1	11
15	Troyes	8	2	3	3	+0	9
16	Clermont	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Reims	8	2	3	3	-1	9
18	St Etienne	9	1	4	4	-10	7
19	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Metz	8	0	4	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Nice	8	5	1	2	+9	16
3	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Rennes	8	3	3	2	+6	12
5	Angers	9	2	6	1	+2	12
6	Brest	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	Monaco	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Lens	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Lille	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Nantes	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Montpellier	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Metz	9	2	2	5	-11	8
14	Lyon	7	2	1	4	-6	7
15	Bordeaux	8	1	4	3	-9	7
16	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-9	7
17	Strasbourg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	St Etienne	8	1	2	5	-10	5
19	Clermont	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Lorient	9	0	4	5	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.