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Serie A

Referee: D Massa

Roma

T S S U T

3–4

Full-time

Juventus

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

55%

30%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roma 7. · Juventus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	21	15	3	3	+23	48
2	Inter	19	14	4	1	+34	46
3	Napoli	21	13	4	4	+22	43
4	Atalanta	20	12	5	3	+18	41
5	Juventus	20	10	5	5	+10	35
6	Fiorentina	19	10	2	7	+9	32
7	Roma	20	10	2	8	+8	32
8	Lazio	20	9	5	6	+5	32
9	Sassuolo	21	7	7	7	+3	28
10	Empoli	21	8	4	9	-8	28
11	Verona	20	7	6	7	+3	27
12	Bologna	19	8	3	8	-4	27
13	Torino	19	7	4	8	+4	25
14	Udinese	19	4	8	7	-6	20
15	Sampdoria	21	5	5	11	-10	20
16	Venezia	20	4	5	11	-19	17
17	Spezia	20	4	4	12	-21	16
18	Cagliari	20	2	7	11	-22	13
19	Genoa	20	1	9	10	-18	12
20	Salernitana	18	2	2	14	-31	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	9	7	2	0	+19	23
2	Napoli	11	7	1	3	+11	22
3	Milan	10	7	1	2	+10	22
4	Lazio	10	6	3	1	+12	21
5	Torino	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	Roma	10	6	2	2	+5	20
7	Fiorentina	9	6	1	2	+11	19
8	Verona	10	5	2	3	+6	17
9	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Bologna	10	5	1	4	+2	16
11	Sassuolo	11	3	4	4	-2	13
12	Atalanta	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	Udinese	10	2	5	3	-5	11
14	Empoli	11	3	1	7	-12	10
15	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Sampdoria	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Cagliari	10	1	4	5	-7	7
19	Genoa	9	0	4	5	-9	4
20	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Milan	11	8	2	1	+13	26
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+15	23
4	Napoli	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Juventus	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Empoli	10	5	3	2	+4	18
7	Sassuolo	10	4	3	3	+5	15
8	Fiorentina	10	4	1	5	-2	13
9	Roma	10	4	0	6	+3	12
10	Sampdoria	10	3	2	5	-2	11
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Lazio	10	3	2	5	-7	11
13	Verona	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Udinese	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-11	9
16	Genoa	11	1	5	5	-9	8
17	Spezia	10	2	1	7	-18	7
18	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-15	6
19	Torino	9	1	2	6	-5	5
20	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.