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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Lens

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Brest

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 46%

47%

44%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

53%

75%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 8. · Brest 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	16	9	6	1	+18	33
2	Lyon	16	9	6	1	+17	33
3	Paris SG	16	10	2	4	+25	32
4	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+8	28
5	Rennes	16	8	4	4	+6	28
6	Montpellier	16	8	3	5	+2	27
7	Monaco	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Lens	15	7	3	5	+1	24
9	Angers	16	7	3	6	-4	24
10	Metz	16	6	5	5	+3	23
11	Brest	16	7	2	7	-2	23
12	Bordeaux	16	6	4	6	+0	22
13	Nice	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	St Etienne	16	4	5	7	-7	17
15	Nantes	16	3	6	7	-9	15
16	Strasbourg	16	4	2	10	-6	14
17	Reims	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Nimes	16	3	3	10	-18	12
19	Lorient	16	3	2	11	-14	11
20	Dijon	16	1	6	9	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Monaco	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Brest	8	5	1	2	+3	16
5	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+10	15
6	Metz	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Rennes	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Montpellier	8	4	0	4	-2	12
11	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Nantes	8	2	4	2	-4	10
13	Angers	8	3	1	4	-4	10
14	St Etienne	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Lorient	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Reims	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Nice	8	2	1	5	-8	7
18	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
19	Dijon	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Nimes	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+12	16
3	Marseille	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Rennes	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Nice	7	4	2	1	+7	14
7	Angers	8	4	2	2	+0	14
8	Lens	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Lille	7	3	3	1	+5	12
10	Metz	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Bordeaux	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Strasbourg	8	3	0	5	+2	9
13	Monaco	8	3	0	5	-4	9
14	St Etienne	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Nimes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Reims	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Brest	8	2	1	5	-5	7
18	Nantes	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-9	5
20	Lorient	8	1	1	6	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.