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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Auxerre

S S T T T

1–3

Full-time

Lorient

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Auxerre 14. · Lorient 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
2	Marseille	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Lens	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Lorient	7	5	1	1	+3	16
5	Lyon	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Rennes	7	3	2	2	+6	11
7	Monaco	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Lille	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Clermont	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	+3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Nice	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Auxerre	7	2	1	4	-9	7
15	Nantes	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Reims	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Strasbourg	7	0	5	2	-2	5
18	Brest	7	1	2	4	-9	5
19	Angers	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Ajaccio	7	0	1	6	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Lens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Marseille	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Rennes	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Clermont	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Nantes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Auxerre	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Angers	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Strasbourg	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Lille	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Brest	3	0	2	1	-7	2
19	Nice	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+17	12
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Lille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Lorient	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Lens	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Clermont	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Reims	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	+3	3
11	Toulouse	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Brest	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-8	3
15	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Lyon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Angers	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Ajaccio	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.