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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Utrecht

U T T S S

0–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · Nijmegen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Feyenoord	6	5	1	0	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+17	15
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	2	0	+7	14
5	Twente	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-7	9
8	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Groningen	6	2	2	2	-4	8
10	Nijmegen	6	1	4	1	+2	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	+1	6
13	Cambuur	6	1	1	4	-5	4
14	Vitesse	6	1	1	4	-9	4
15	FC Emmen	6	1	1	4	-10	4
16	Volendam	6	1	1	4	-13	4
17	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	0	5	-7	3
18	For Sittard	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Waalwijk	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	FC Emmen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	+2	3
13	Volendam	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Nijmegen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-7	1
16	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	For Sittard	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Nijmegen	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Cambuur	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Vitesse	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Volendam	3	0	1	2	-10	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.