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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Lyon

S S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Auxerre

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Auxerre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

67%

75%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

20 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 4. · Auxerre 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+14	10
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Lens	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Lorient	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Lille	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Auxerre	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+4	6
9	Clermont	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Nantes	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Monaco	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Rennes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Brest	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Strasbourg	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Angers	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Nice	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Reims	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Paris SG	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Troyes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Clermont	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Nice	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Brest	2	0	1	1	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Lens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	Clermont	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Brest	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Reims	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.