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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Horsens
T S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 15
2 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Horsens 7. · Nordsjaelland 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Randers FC 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Viborg 9 6 0 3 +4 18
4 Silkeborg 9 5 1 3 +5 16
5 Aarhus 9 4 1 4 +2 13
6 FC Copenhagen 9 4 0 5 +1 12
7 Horsens 9 3 2 4 -2 11
8 Midtjylland 9 2 4 3 +0 10
9 Brondby 9 3 1 5 -5 10
10 Odense 9 3 1 5 -7 10
11 Aalborg 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Lyngby 9 0 3 6 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Nordsjaelland
1–0 M. Jensen
E. Just
25′
Aron Sigurðarson 🟨
33′
Elijah Just 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
D. Kruse 🔁
↦ J. Drachmann
62′
M. Opondo 🔁
↦ E. Just
62′
62′
🔁 O. Antman
↦ M. Diomandé
63′
🔁 D. Svensson
↦ O. Villadsen
63′
🔁 W. Faghir
↦ M. Hansen
M. Lassen 🔁
↦ A. Sigurðarson
72′
81′
🔁 B. Nygren
↦ J. Christensen
81′
🔁 L. Coulibaly
↦ M. Frese
S. Makienok 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Horsens

4-4-2
1 M. Delač G
18 T. Santos D
21 J. Gomez D
4 M. Kiilerich D
24 L. Musonda D
27 E. Just M
14 J. Gemmer M
8 J. Drachmann M
11 A. Sigurðarson M
9 A. Jacobsen F
3 M. Jensen F
Bench (9)
23 D. Kruse
6 M. Opondo
17 M. Lassen
13 S. Makienok
19 M. Hannesbo
7 L. Qamili
26 S. Iyede
33 A. Ludwig
30 M. Bobjerg

Coach: J. Askou

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
6 J. Christensen M
18 M. Bidstrup M
10 M. Diomandé M
11 M. Hansen F
37 E. Nuamah F
7 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (9)
22 O. Antman
27 D. Svensson
21 W. Faghir
9 B. Nygren
28 L. Coulibaly
42 K. Barslund
15 E. Marxen
29 M. Dorgeles
31 A. Gülstorff

Coach: F. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.