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Europa League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Monaco
T U T U S
4–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 7
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 FK Crvena Zvezda – Monaco 0–1

Match report

Monaco FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0 K. Volland ⚽
Caio Henrique
5′
23′
🟨 Milan Rodić
2–0 K. Volland ⚽
K. Diatta
27′
38′
🟨 Aleksandar Katai
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Srnić
↦ S. Mitrović
2–1 M. Rodić ⚽
own goal
50′
Benoît Badiashile 🟨
53′
54′
⚽ G. Kanga 2–2
60′
🔁 K. Kangwa
↦ A. Katai
62′
🟨 Slavoljub Srnić
64′
🟨 Guélor Kanga
69′
ℹ️ Aleksandar Pešić
VAR: Goal cancelled
71′
🔁 E. Fardou Ben Mohamed
↦ O. Bukari
71′
🔁 I. Mustapha
↦ G. Kanga
Vanderson 🔁
↦ K. Diatta
75′
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
76′
84′
🔁 I. Azarovi
↦ M. Rodić
E. Matazo 🔁
↦ M. Camara
85′
I. Jakobs 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
85′
3–2 K. Volland ⚽
I. Jakobs
87′
E. Ben Seghir 🔁
↦ K. Volland
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
6 A. Disasi D
3 G. Maripán D
5 B. Badiashile D
12 Caio Henrique D
27 K. Diatta M
19 Y. Fofana M
4 M. Camara M
17 A. Golovin M
31 K. Volland F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (12)
2 Vanderson
36 B. Embolo
15 E. Matazo
14 I. Jakobs
44 E. Ben Seghir
26 R. Aguilar
77 Gelson Martins
30 T. Didillon
21 M. Akliouche
11 Jean Lucas
18 T. Minamino
23 M. Sarr

Coach: P. Clement

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-4-2
82 M. Borjan G
77 M. Gobeljić D
25 S. Eraković D
19 N. Milunović D
23 M. Rodić D
11 O. Bukari M
8 G. Kanga M
4 M. Ivanić M
80 S. Mitrović M
10 A. Katai F
72 A. Pešić F
Bench (12)
55 S. Srnić
20 K. Kangwa
31 E. Fardou Ben Mohamed
18 I. Mustapha
16 I. Azarovi
6 R. Pankov
38 N. Stanković
27 N. Vasiljević
44 S. Leković
70 K. Coulibaly
35 S. Sanogo
9 J. Mijatović

Coach: M. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.