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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Troyes

U T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Auxerre

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Auxerre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 23%

23%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

77%

62%

Both score Ø 77%

85%

69%

Average goals

4,0

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

21 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 12. · Auxerre 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+28	35
2	Lens	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Rennes	13	8	3	2	+16	27
4	Lorient	13	8	3	2	+6	27
5	Marseille	13	7	3	3	+11	24
6	Monaco	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	Lille	13	7	1	5	+3	22
8	Lyon	13	6	2	5	+6	20
9	Clermont	13	5	3	5	-3	18
10	Nice	13	4	4	5	-3	16
11	Toulouse	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Troyes	13	3	4	6	-4	13
13	Reims	13	2	7	4	-6	13
14	Montpellier	13	4	0	9	-5	12
15	Nantes	13	2	6	5	-6	12
16	Auxerre	13	3	3	7	-12	12
17	Strasbourg	13	1	7	5	-7	10
18	Brest	13	2	4	7	-12	10
19	Ajaccio	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Angers	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Rennes	7	6	0	1	+14	18
3	Lyon	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+7	16
5	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Lorient	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	Toulouse	7	3	3	1	+1	12
8	Lille	6	4	0	2	-1	12
9	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Nantes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-2	9
12	Auxerre	7	2	3	2	-2	9
13	Clermont	6	3	0	3	-5	9
14	Troyes	6	1	4	1	-1	7
15	Reims	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Nice	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Strasbourg	7	0	4	3	-6	4
18	Angers	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Brest	6	0	3	3	-9	3
20	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
2	Lorient	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Monaco	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Nice	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Lille	7	3	1	3	+4	10
7	Lens	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Clermont	7	2	3	2	+2	9
9	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Reims	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Brest	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Ajaccio	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Troyes	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Toulouse	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Angers	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Montpellier	6	1	0	5	-3	3
19	Nantes	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Auxerre	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.