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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
Heerenveen
S S S U U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
58%
75%
Average goals
2,6
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Sparta Rotterdam 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 12 10 2 0 +30 32
2 AZ Alkmaar 12 8 2 2 +20 26
3 PSV Eindhoven 12 7 3 2 +13 24
4 Utrecht 12 7 2 3 +14 23
5 Vitesse 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Groningen 13 6 2 5 +3 20
7 Willem II 12 6 1 5 -3 19
8 Heerenveen 12 4 6 2 +5 18
9 Heracles 12 5 3 4 +1 18
10 Feyenoord 12 4 5 3 +0 17
11 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 4 4 -1 16
12 Twente 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 FC Emmen 12 4 1 7 -9 13
14 Den Haag 12 3 1 8 -8 10
15 Zwolle 12 3 1 8 -12 10
16 For Sittard 12 2 3 7 -15 9
17 VVV Venlo 12 3 0 9 -20 9
18 Waalwijk 12 1 1 10 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam
26′
L. Veldwijk 0–1
A. Harroui
Half-time 0–1
J. Bruijn 🔁
↦ H. Faik
62′
A. Halilović 🔁
↦ R. Kongolo
72′
72′
🔁 H. Dervişoğlu
↦ L. Veldwijk
1–1 C. Ejuke
A. Halilović
73′
77′
🟨 Adil Auassar
79′
🔁 L. Duarte
↦ B. Smeets
2–1 C. Ejuke
S. Botman
79′
84′
🔁 J. Piroe
↦ B. Vriends
D. Høegh 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
16 R. van Rhijn D
2 S. Floranus D
14 I. Drešević D
18 S. Botman D
6 H. Faik M
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
9 J. Odgaard F
11 M. van Bergen F
8 C. Ejuke F
Bench (10)
13 J. Bruijn
10 A. Halilović
3 D. Høegh
31 H. Akujobi
5 L. Woudenberg
4 A. Skovgaard
15 Đoàn Văn Hậu
23 F. Bednarek
17 A. Dreyer
24 T. Doornbusch

Coach: J. Jansen

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 A. Harush G
3 B. Vriends D
4 J. Mattheij D
2 D. Abels D
5 L. Faye D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
7 A. Harroui M
11 L. Veldwijk F
8 M. Rayhi M
9 R. Ache F
Bench (8)
19 H. Dervişoğlu
14 L. Duarte
13 J. Piroe
30 K. Lipman
15 D. Duarte
16 D. Rigo
12 K. Karami
20 M. Fabrie

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,73
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.